Football · Belarus Premier League · 01/08, 19:00
Prediction: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Minsk
Team pages: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk · FC Minsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1.3
FC Minsk1.24
1X2
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Draw
FC Minsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FC Minsk
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1–4–1
FC Minsk
(6 last)
- FC Minsk1-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-1FC Minsk
- FC Minsk2-2FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0-0FC Minsk
- FC Minsk1-2FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FC Minsk2-0FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Minsk (rating 1481 vs 1527).
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | FC Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.6 | – / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1–4–1 FC Minsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 26/09/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Minsk |
| 10/05/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 09/11/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Minsk |
| 22/06/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 15/02/23 Club Friendly List | FC Minsk | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 26 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Torpedo Zhodino | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 21 |
| 9 | Neman Grodno | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Vitebsk | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Slavia Mozyr | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 11 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | FC Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Dnepr Mogilev | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Minsk | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Bumprom Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
FC Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Smorgon Belarus Cup |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Minsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win (37%). Probabilities: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 37%, draw 29%, FC Minsk 34%.
How many goals are expected in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Minsk?
The model expects 2.54 goals (FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1.3 · FC Minsk 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Minsk?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.