Prediction: Flint City Bucks vs Vermont Green
Team pages: Flint City Bucks · Vermont Green
| Flint City Bucks | Draw | Vermont Green | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vermont Green (rating 1595 vs 1636).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flint City Bucks | Vermont Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.8 | 5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Lakes Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flint City Bucks | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Oakland County FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 20 |
| 3 | Midwest United | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kalamazoo FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 19 |
| 5 | AFC Ann Arbor | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 27 | 19 |
| 6 | Union FC Macomb | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 8 |
| 7 | Lansing City Football | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flint City Bucks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Peoria City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 20/07 | Steel City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/07 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 6-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
Vermont Green
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Laredo Heat USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Asheville City SC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/07 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 08/07 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
4-1 | 10-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flint City Bucks vs Vermont Green?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vermont Green win (52%). Probabilities: Flint City Bucks 25%, draw 22%, Vermont Green 52%.
How many goals are expected in Flint City Bucks vs Vermont Green?
The model expects 3.54 goals (Flint City Bucks 1.43 · Vermont Green 2.11), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Flint City Bucks vs Vermont Green?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.