Football · Czechia Cup · 12/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sternberk vs Polanka
Team pages: Sternberk · Polanka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Sternberk1.09
Polanka1.98
1X2
Sternberk
Draw
Polanka
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sternberk
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Polanka
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sternberk 1435 · Polanka 1427
| Sternberk | Draw | Polanka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sternberk | Polanka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 0.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.4 | 0.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sternberk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Breclav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Jiskra Rymarov Czechia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/06 | FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Breclav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Polanka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | SK Stonava Czechia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga |
2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Trinec Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sternberk vs Polanka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Polanka win (58%). Probabilities: Sternberk 20%, draw 22%, Polanka 58%.
How many goals are expected in Sternberk vs Polanka?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Sternberk 1.09 · Polanka 1.98), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sternberk vs Polanka?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.