Football · Czechia Cup · 12/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Horni Redice vs MFK Chrudim

Team pages: FK Horni Redice · MFK Chrudim

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
FK Horni Redice1.93
MFK Chrudim1.49
1X2
48% 22% 30%
FK Horni Redice Draw MFK Chrudim
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Horni Redice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDWWWWWL
MFK Chrudim 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLDLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Horni Redice 1551 · MFK Chrudim 1489
FK Horni RediceDrawMFK Chrudim
Our model47%24%29%
Market49%20%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Horni Redice (rating 1551 vs 1489).
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Horni RediceMFK Chrudim
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.51.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.90.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4.7 / 5.32.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.14.7 / 0.2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Horni Redice

LWLDWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 FK Jablonec B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 65 L
01/08 SK Sparta Kolin
Czechia Cup
2-0 3-0 52 W
13/06 TJ Svitavy
Czechia 4. Liga
2-1 4-2 W
06/06 Hlinsko
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 3-1 55 W
30/05 FK Brandys nad Labem
Czechia 4. Liga
2-0 4-1 W
23/05 FK Chlumec N.C
Czechia 4. Liga
4-0 4-0 54 W
16/05 Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Czechia 4. Liga
1-3 3-3 84 D
08/05 Turnov
Czechia 4. Liga
0-2 2-3 13 L
01/05 Slovan Hradek nad Nisou
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 2-1 75 W
26/04 MFK Chrudim B
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 0-2 L

MFK Chrudim

WLLLDLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Mladá Boleslav B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-5 1-6 38 L
23/05 SK Artis Brno
Czechia 2. Liga
1-1 2-1 34 W
16/05 Ceske Budejovice
Czechia 2. Liga
2-0 2-1 54 W
12/05 FK Pribram
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 2-0 63 W
06/05 FC Silon Taborsko
Czechia 2. Liga
0-1 0-2 86 L
02/05 Sparta Prague B
Czechia 2. Liga
1-0 2-2 65 D
25/04 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 0-1 610 L
18/04 FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 0-2 25 L
15/04 FK Usti nad Labem
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 0-1 91 L
10/04 Slavia Prague B
Czechia 2. Liga
3-0 6-1 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Horni Redice vs MFK Chrudim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Horni Redice win (48%). Probabilities: FK Horni Redice 48%, draw 22%, MFK Chrudim 30%.

How many goals are expected in FK Horni Redice vs MFK Chrudim?

The model expects 3.43 goals (FK Horni Redice 1.93 · MFK Chrudim 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Horni Redice vs MFK Chrudim?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.