Football · Czechia Cup · 12/08, 17:00
Prediction: FC Brumov vs MFK Karvina
Team pages: MFK Karvina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
FC Brumov0.93
MFK Karvina2.41
1X2
FC Brumov
Draw
MFK Karvina
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Brumov
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
MFK Karvina
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Brumov 1502 · MFK Karvina 1537
| FC Brumov | Draw | MFK Karvina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| Market | 12% | 19% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Brumov | MFK Karvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 1.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Brumov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Hluk Czechia Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Breclav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
MFK Karvina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Opava Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Ruch Chorzow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Wisla Krakow Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Jablonec Czechia Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Brumov vs MFK Karvina?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Karvina win (69%). Probabilities: FC Brumov 12%, draw 19%, MFK Karvina 69%.
How many goals are expected in FC Brumov vs MFK Karvina?
The model expects 3.34 goals (FC Brumov 0.93 · MFK Karvina 2.41), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Brumov vs MFK Karvina?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.