Football · Chile Tercera · 26/07, 19:00

Prediction: Chimbarongo FC vs CD Constitucion Unido

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Chimbarongo FC1.33
CD Constitucion Unido1.35
1X2
36% 27% 37%
Chimbarongo FC Draw CD Constitucion Unido
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chimbarongo FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLDWDWLDLD
CD Constitucion Unido 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLWDDD
Head-to-head
Chimbarongo FC 1–1–2 CD Constitucion Unido (4 last)
  • CD Constitucion Unido2-1Chimbarongo FC
  • Chimbarongo FC1-0CD Constitucion Unido
  • CD Constitucion Unido2-2Chimbarongo FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chimbarongo FC 1493 · CD Constitucion Unido 1508
Chimbarongo FCDrawCD Constitucion Unido
Our model35%28%36%
Market37%26%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours CD Constitucion Unido: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chimbarongo FCCD Constitucion Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.41.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.7 / 0.86.2 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chimbarongo FC 112 CD Constitucion Unido

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido2-1
HT 1-1
Chimbarongo FC
25/10/25
Chile Tercera
Chimbarongo FC1-0
HT 0-0
CD Constitucion Unido
05/07/25
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido2-2
HT 0-2
Chimbarongo FC
25/05/24
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido5-0
HT 3-0
Chimbarongo FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChimbarongo FCCD Constitucion Unido
Malleco Unido 0-3 L 3-2 W
CD Imperial Unido 3-0 W 2-2 D
Rodelindo Roman 1-1 D 1-1 D
Club Aguara 1-1 D 1-2 L
Puente Alto 2-1 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chimbarongo FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chimbarongo FC

WLDWDWLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 55 D
04/07 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 46 L
28/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-0 63 D
21/06 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-3 52 L
13/06 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 3-0 310 W
06/06 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 36 D
30/05 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 713 W
02/05 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 810 D
25/04 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-2 310 L
18/04 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-1 2-1 1010 W

CD Constitucion Unido

LWWWLLWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-2 103 D
04/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 15 D
20/06 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-2 46 D
13/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
2-0 5-0 38 W
06/06 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 89 L
16/05 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-2 24 W
25/04 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-1 310 W
19/04 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 3-2 210 W
11/04 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 96 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chimbarongo FC vs CD Constitucion Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Constitucion Unido win (37%). Probabilities: Chimbarongo FC 36%, draw 27%, CD Constitucion Unido 37%.

How many goals are expected in Chimbarongo FC vs CD Constitucion Unido?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Chimbarongo FC 1.33 · CD Constitucion Unido 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chimbarongo FC vs CD Constitucion Unido?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.