Football · El Salvador Apertura · 30/07, 01:00

Prediction: Municipal Limeno vs CD INCA

Team pages: Municipal Limeno · CD INCA

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Municipal Limeno2.15
CD INCA0.92
1X2
65% 20% 15%
Municipal Limeno Draw CD INCA
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Municipal Limeno 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WDWLLWLWLL
CD INCA 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWLWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Municipal Limeno 1503 · CD INCA 1518
Municipal LimenoDrawCD INCA
Our model65%21%14%
Market66%18%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Municipal LimenoCD INCA
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.61.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.31.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.40.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.66.5 / 0.5

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AD Isidro Metapan 1100 423
2 Alianza FC 1100 313
2 CD FAS 1100 313
4 CD Cacahuatique 2101 663
5 CD Aguila 1010 111
5 Fuerte San Francisco 1010 111
5 CD Luis Angel Firpo 1010 111
5 CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1010 111
9 Internacional Santa Tecla 1010 001
10 Atlético Balboa 2011 241
11 CD INCA 1001 130
11 Municipal Limeno 1001 130

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Municipal Limeno

WDWLLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 CD FAS
El Salvador Apertura
1-0 1-3 25 L
18/05 CD FAS
El Salvador Clausura
0-1 0-2 66 L
15/05 CD FAS
El Salvador Clausura
0-0 1-0 22 W
11/05 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Clausura
0-0 1-2 17 L
08/05 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Clausura
2-0 2-0 28 W
01/05 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Clausura
0-1 2-3 106 L
26/04 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Clausura
1-1 1-2 26 L
24/04 CD El Roble
El Salvador Cup
1-0 2-1 410 W
19/04 Alianza FC
El Salvador Clausura
0-0 0-0 29 D
16/04 Zacatecoluca FC
El Salvador Clausura
2-0 4-3 35 W

CD INCA

DLWWWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Alianza FC
El Salvador Apertura
0-1 1-3 55 L
31/05 Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-0 1-1 510 D
25/05 Sensunte Cabanas FC
El Salvador Segunda Division
3-0 4-0 33 W
16/05 Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Segunda Division
1-0 1-2 56 L
10/05 Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Segunda Division
1-0 1-0 37 W
01/05 CD Dragon
El Salvador Segunda Division
3-0 W
26/04 CD Dragon
El Salvador Segunda Division
2-1 W
18/04 CD Adet Aruba
El Salvador Segunda Division
2-0 2-0 111 W
12/04 CD Neo Pipil
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-2 L
05/04 AD Espartano
El Salvador Segunda Division
1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Municipal Limeno vs CD INCA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Municipal Limeno win (65%). Probabilities: Municipal Limeno 65%, draw 20%, CD INCA 15%.

How many goals are expected in Municipal Limeno vs CD INCA?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Municipal Limeno 2.15 · CD INCA 0.92), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Municipal Limeno vs CD INCA?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.