Football · El Salvador Apertura · 12/11, 02:00

Prediction: CD FAS vs Internacional Santa Tecla

Team pages: CD FAS · Internacional Santa Tecla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

CD FAS1.68

Internacional Santa Tecla1.25

1X2

47% 26% 27%

CD FAS Draw Internacional Santa Tecla

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD FAS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLDLDD

Internacional Santa Tecla 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLDDLWDL

Head-to-head

CD FAS 3–2–0 Internacional Santa Tecla (5 last)

Internacional Santa Tecla2-2CD FAS
Internacional Santa Tecla2-2CD FAS
CD FAS3-1Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla0-2CD FAS
CD FAS3-1Internacional Santa Tecla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD FAS 1531 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1465

	CD FAS	Draw	Internacional Santa Tecla
Our model	46%	26%	27%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1531 vs 1465).
H2H favours CD FAS: 3-2-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD FAS	Internacional Santa Tecla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.6	3.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.40

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.91▲	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	3.60 → 3.25▼	Pinn 4.03 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:00 +3’	1.80	3.60	3.60
13:32 +30’	1.91▲	3.40▼	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +7’	1.84	3.39	4.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD FAS 3–2–0 Internacional Santa Tecla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/09/26 El Salvador Apertura	Internacional Santa Tecla	2-2 HT 1-2	CD FAS
16/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	2-2 HT 2-1	CD FAS
19/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	3-1 HT 1-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
02/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	Internacional Santa Tecla	0-2 HT 0-1	CD FAS
31/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	3-1 HT 1-0	Internacional Santa Tecla

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	19	11	6	2	34	14	39
2	CD FAS	19	9	6	4	31	21	33
3	AD Isidro Metapan	19	9	5	5	25	20	32
4	CD Aguila	19	8	6	5	36	27	30
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	19	6	9	4	25	18	27
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	19	7	6	6	25	22	27
7	Alianza FC	19	6	8	5	26	26	26
8	Municipal Limeno	20	6	5	9	31	32	23
9	Atlético Balboa	19	5	5	9	21	31	20
10	CD Cacahuatique	19	4	7	8	21	29	19
11	CD INCA Aruba	19	4	5	10	14	33	17
12	Fuerte San Francisco	20	2	8	10	20	36	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD FAS	Internacional Santa Tecla
Fuerte San Francisco	2-2 D	1-1 D
CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-1 D	1-2 L
CD Aguila	1-3 L	1-2 L
AD Isidro Metapan	0-0 D	0-0 D
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	2-3 L	0-0 D
Atlético Balboa	1-0 W	1-1 D
Alianza FC	2-1 W	2-2 D
CD INCA Aruba	1-1 D	2-0 W
Municipal Limeno	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 2 L	1 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD FAS (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD FAS

WWDWWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-2	9	6	D
02/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
24/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-3	6	7	L
22/10	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
19/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-3	7	8	L
11/10	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
05/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	0	5	W

Internacional Santa Tecla

DDDLDDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
31/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
24/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
17/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
12/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
05/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
30/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
27/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
20/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
17/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-2	8	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD FAS vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD FAS win (47%). Probabilities: CD FAS 47%, draw 26%, Internacional Santa Tecla 27%.

How many goals are expected in CD FAS vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model expects 2.93 goals (CD FAS 1.68 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD FAS vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.