Football · Argentina Regional League · 23/07, 16:00
Prediction: Deportivo Laferrere Reserves vs CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Deportivo Laferrere Reserves1.18
CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves1.18
1X2
Deportivo Laferrere Reserves
Draw
CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Laferrere Reserves
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Laferrere Reserves
1–1
CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Laferrere Reserves 1449 · CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves 1481
| Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | Draw | CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.7 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Laferrere Reserves 1–0–1 CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/25 Argentina Reserve League | CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Laferrere Reserves |
| 03/04/25 Argentina Reserve League | Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Real Pilar Reserves | 0-5 L | 1-0 W |
| UAI Urquiza Reserves | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Villa Dalmine Reserves | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Excursionistas Reserves | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Argentino Merlo Reserves | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Ituzaingo Reserves | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Armenio Reserves | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CSD Flandria Reserves | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 3 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Laferrere Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Real Pilar Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 02/07 | UAI Urquiza Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Villa Dalmine Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Excursionistas Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 10/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/06 | Argentino Merlo Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/06 | Quilmes Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 14 | L |
| 13/05 | CA Ituzaingo Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 29/04 | Deportivo Armenio Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | CSD Flandria Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Deportivo Liniers Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | Real Pilar Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | UAI Urquiza Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Villa Dalmine Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Excursionistas Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | Deportivo Armenio Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 19/05 | Argentino Merlo Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | CA Ituzaingo Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 08/04 | CSD Flandria Reserves Argentina Reserve League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Laferrere Reserves vs CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Laferrere Reserves win (35%). Probabilities: Deportivo Laferrere Reserves 35%, draw 29%, CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves 35%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Laferrere Reserves vs CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Deportivo Laferrere Reserves 1.18 · CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves 1.18), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Laferrere Reserves vs CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.