Football · Argentina Regional League · 18/07, 20:30
Prediction: CSD Fontana vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
CSD Fontana1.4
Defensores Puerto Vilelas1.33
1X2
CSD Fontana
Draw
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Fontana
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSD Fontana
0–1–3
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Fontana 1479 · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1475
| CSD Fontana | Draw | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensores Puerto Vilelas: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Fontana | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.3 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.6 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Fontana 0–1–3 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/24 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 4-1 HT 4-0 | CSD Fontana |
| 05/11/22 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | CSD Fontana | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas |
| 16/10/22 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 3-2 HT 3-1 | CSD Fontana |
| 26/09/21 Argentina Regional League | CSD Fontana | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Fontana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Don Orione Argentina Regional League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | CD Lujan Argentina Regional League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/04 | Central Norte Argentino Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 10/01 | Club Sportivo Cultural Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 19/12 | Resistencia Central Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 14/12 | Union Machagai Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/11 | C.U.N.E. Argentina Regional League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/10 | Nacional JM Paz Argentina Regional League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Don Orione Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/08 | Deportivo Lujan Argentina Regional League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Resistencia Central Argentina Regional League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Fontana vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Fontana win (38%). Probabilities: CSD Fontana 38%, draw 28%, Defensores Puerto Vilelas 34%.
How many goals are expected in CSD Fontana vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
The model expects 2.73 goals (CSD Fontana 1.4 · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CSD Fontana vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.