Football · Malaysia Super League · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Terengganu vs Melaka FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Terengganu1.86

Melaka FC0.85

1X2

61% 23% 16%

Terengganu Draw Melaka FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Terengganu 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDDLLWWL

Melaka FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWLDLD

Head-to-head

Terengganu 4–1–0 Melaka FC (5 last)

Melaka FC1-2Terengganu
Terengganu4-0Melaka FC
Terengganu0-0Melaka FC
Melaka FC1-4Terengganu
Terengganu4-0Melaka FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Terengganu 1515 · Melaka FC 1448

	Terengganu	Draw	Melaka FC
Our model	60%	24%	16%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Terengganu (rating 1515 vs 1448).
H2H favours Terengganu: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Terengganu	Melaka FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +14’	1.44	4.20	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Terengganu 4–1–0 Melaka FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Malaysia Super League	Melaka FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Terengganu
19/09/25 Malaysia Super League	Terengganu	4-0 HT 4-0	Melaka FC
29/11/24 Malaysia Cup	Terengganu	0-0 HT 0-0	Melaka FC
23/11/24 Malaysia Cup	Melaka FC	1-4 HT 0-2	Terengganu
14/04/23 Malaysia Cup	Terengganu	4-0 HT 1-0	Melaka FC

Standings · Malaysia Super League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Johor Darul Takzim	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	DPMM FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kelantan Red Warrior	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kuala Lumpur City	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Melaka FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Negeri Sembilan	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Pulau Pinang	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sabah FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Selangor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Imigresen FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Terengganu	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Kuching City FC	1	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Terengganu	Melaka FC
Sabah FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Imigresen FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Kuching City FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Negeri Sembilan	2-2 D	0-0 D
Johor Darul Takzim	1-1 D	1-2 L
Kelantan The Real Warriors	2-0 W	2-1 W
Kuala Lumpur City	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Terengganu (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Terengganu

WLWDDLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Prachuap FC Club Friendly List	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
03/08	Prime Bangkok Club Friendly List	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
15/05	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/05	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
01/05	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
25/04	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
11/04	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-1	0	3	D
06/03	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
27/02	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
21/02	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-1	7	2	W

Melaka FC

LLDLWWLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
09/05	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	1-3	2	2	L
03/05	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
28/04	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	0-2	1-2	3	2	L
23/04	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
15/03	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
07/03	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
28/02	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/02	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Cup	0-2	1-3	10	4	L
21/02	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-1	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Terengganu vs Melaka FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Terengganu win (61%). Probabilities: Terengganu 61%, draw 23%, Melaka FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Terengganu vs Melaka FC?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Terengganu 1.86 · Melaka FC 0.85), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Terengganu vs Melaka FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.