Football · Malaysia Super League · 11/09, 15:00
Prediction: Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri Sembilan
Team pages: Johor Darul Takzim · Negeri Sembilan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.73Total
Johor Darul Takzim3.37
Negeri Sembilan1.37
1X2
Johor Darul Takzim
Draw
Negeri Sembilan
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Johor Darul Takzim
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Negeri Sembilan
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Johor Darul Takzim
6–0
Negeri Sembilan
(6 last)
- Negeri Sembilan0-1Johor Darul Takzim
- Johor Darul Takzim5-3Negeri Sembilan
- Negeri Sembilan0-4Johor Darul Takzim
- Johor Darul Takzim3-1Negeri Sembilan
- Johor Darul Takzim4-1Negeri Sembilan
- Negeri Sembilan0-3Johor Darul Takzim
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johor Darul Takzim 1679 · Negeri Sembilan 1511
| Johor Darul Takzim | Draw | Negeri Sembilan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 93% | 5% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.73 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johor Darul Takzim (rating 1679 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Johor Darul Takzim: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Johor Darul Takzim | Negeri Sembilan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 9.3 | 1.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johor Darul Takzim 6–0–0 Negeri Sembilan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 Malaysia Super League | Negeri Sembilan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Johor Darul Takzim |
| 12/08/25 Malaysia Super League | Johor Darul Takzim | 5-3 HT 2-2 | Negeri Sembilan |
| 01/11/24 Malaysia Super League | Negeri Sembilan | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Johor Darul Takzim |
| 18/05/24 Malaysia Super League | Johor Darul Takzim | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Negeri Sembilan |
| 23/09/23 Malaysia Cup | Johor Darul Takzim | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Negeri Sembilan |
| 13/09/23 Malaysia Cup | Negeri Sembilan | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Johor Darul Takzim |
Standings · Malaysia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Kuching City FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Selangor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Sabah FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Kuala Lumpur City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | Negeri Sembilan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Terengganu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Melaka FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | DPMM FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Pulau Pinang | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Imigresen FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
| 12 | Kelantan Red Warrior | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Johor Darul Takzim | Negeri Sembilan |
|---|---|---|
| DPMM FC | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Imigresen FC | 7-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Kelantan The Real Warriors | 14-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Kuala Lumpur City | 7-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Melaka FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Terengganu | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| PDRM | 7-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Pulau Pinang | 4-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Johor Darul Takzim (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johor Darul Takzim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | DPMM FC Malaysia Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League |
5-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/08 | Kelantan Red Warrior Malaysia Super League |
3-0 | 9-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League |
8-0 | 14-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | Melaka FC Malaysia Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Terengganu Malaysia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 3 | D |
| 18/03 | PDRM Malaysia Super League |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | DPMM FC Malaysia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 27/02 | Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Negeri Sembilan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Melaka FC Malaysia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Melaka FC Malaysia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Terengganu Malaysia Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | DPMM FC Malaysia Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 13/03 | PDRM Malaysia Super League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri Sembilan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Johor Darul Takzim win (85%). Probabilities: Johor Darul Takzim 85%, draw 9%, Negeri Sembilan 6%.
How many goals are expected in Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri Sembilan?
The model expects 4.73 goals (Johor Darul Takzim 3.37 · Negeri Sembilan 1.37), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri Sembilan?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.