Football · Hungary NB II · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: Fehervar FC vs Kozarmisleny SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Fehervar FC1.41

Kozarmisleny SE1

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Fehervar FC Draw Kozarmisleny SE

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fehervar FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWLLLL

Kozarmisleny SE 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDWWL

Head-to-head

Fehervar FC 0–2–0 Kozarmisleny SE (2 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fehervar FC 1483 · Kozarmisleny SE 1577

	Fehervar FC	Draw	Kozarmisleny SE
Our model	45%	29%	26%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kozarmisleny SE (rating 1483 vs 1577).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fehervar FC	Kozarmisleny SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.5	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.25

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:20 +9’	1.95	3.25	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fehervar FC 0–2–0 Kozarmisleny SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB II	Fehervar FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Kozarmisleny SE
28/09/25 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	1-1 HT 0-0	Fehervar FC

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Csakvari TK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BVSC Zuglo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Diosgyori VTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Ajka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Nagykanizsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fehervar FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyirmot SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Karcagi SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kazincbarcikai BSC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kecskemeti TE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kozarmisleny SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mezokovesd Zsory	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Soroksar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szentlorinc SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tiszakecske FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fehervar FC	Kozarmisleny SE
Szentlorinc SE	1-2 L	2-0 W
Karcagi SE	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fehervar FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	8	2	L
10/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
03/05	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
26/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	8	8	L
19/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
11/04	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
05/04	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/03	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
14/03	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
08/03	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	8	8	W

Kozarmisleny SE

DWWWWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	MTK Budapest Club Friendly List	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
11/07	Paksi Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
08/07	Szentlorinc SE Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	Pecsi MFC Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
27/06	Kaposvari Rakoczi Club Friendly List	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
03/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
26/04	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
19/04	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	6	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fehervar FC vs Kozarmisleny SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fehervar FC win (46%). Probabilities: Fehervar FC 46%, draw 28%, Kozarmisleny SE 26%.

How many goals are expected in Fehervar FC vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Fehervar FC 1.41 · Kozarmisleny SE 1), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fehervar FC vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.