Football · Hungary NB II · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: Gyirmot SE vs Csakvari TK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Gyirmot SE1.02

Csakvari TK1.28

1X2

29% 29% 42%

Gyirmot SE Draw Csakvari TK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gyirmot SE 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWD

Csakvari TK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Gyirmot SE 4–2 Csakvari TK (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyirmot SE 1592 · Csakvari TK 1542

	Gyirmot SE	Draw	Csakvari TK
Our model	28%	31%	41%
Market	30%	27%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyirmot SE (rating 1592 vs 1542).
H2H favours Gyirmot SE: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyirmot SE	Csakvari TK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.4	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/10/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.6	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.30

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +16’	3.00	3.30	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyirmot SE 4–0–2 Csakvari TK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/25 Hungary Cup	Gyirmot SE	0-1 HT 0-0	Csakvari TK
23/02/25 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	0-4 HT 0-3	Csakvari TK
11/08/24 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	1-2 HT 1-1	Gyirmot SE
21/04/24 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	0-2 HT 0-1	Gyirmot SE
22/10/23 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	2-1 HT 1-0	Csakvari TK
12/03/23 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	2-1 HT 2-1	Csakvari TK

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Csakvari TK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BVSC Zuglo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Diosgyori VTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Ajka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Nagykanizsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fehervar FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyirmot SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Karcagi SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kazincbarcikai BSC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kecskemeti TE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kozarmisleny SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mezokovesd Zsory	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Soroksar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szentlorinc SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tiszakecske FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Gyirmot SE

WWWWWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	SC Sopron Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	7	0	D
11/07	FC Ajka Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
07/06	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	5	8	W
31/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
24/05	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
17/05	Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
10/05	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	8	9	W
03/05	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
26/04	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
18/04	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Csakvari TK

WDLWLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FC Ajka Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
11/07	BVSC Zuglo Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
17/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/05	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/05	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
26/04	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
19/04	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
05/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	2-0	2-2	3	13	D
22/03	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	2-1	6-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyirmot SE vs Csakvari TK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Csakvari TK win (42%). Probabilities: Gyirmot SE 29%, draw 29%, Csakvari TK 42%.

How many goals are expected in Gyirmot SE vs Csakvari TK?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Gyirmot SE 1.02 · Csakvari TK 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyirmot SE vs Csakvari TK?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.