Football · Hungary NB II · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: BVSC Zuglo vs Kazincbarcikai BSC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

BVSC Zuglo1.11

Kazincbarcikai BSC1.31

1X2

31% 29% 40%

BVSC Zuglo Draw Kazincbarcikai BSC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

BVSC Zuglo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWDWWD

Kazincbarcikai BSC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWDLLW

Head-to-head

BVSC Zuglo 2–2–0 Kazincbarcikai BSC (4 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BVSC Zuglo 1521 · Kazincbarcikai BSC 1462

	BVSC Zuglo	Draw	Kazincbarcikai BSC
Our model	30%	30%	40%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BVSC Zuglo (rating 1521 vs 1462).
H2H favours BVSC Zuglo: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BVSC Zuglo	Kazincbarcikai BSC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.25

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
18:27 +1’	2.88	3.25	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BVSC Zuglo 2–2–0 Kazincbarcikai BSC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/02/25 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	0-0 HT 0-0	Kazincbarcikai BSC
11/08/24 Hungary NB II	Kazincbarcikai BSC	0-1 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo
17/03/24 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	3-0 HT 2-0	Kazincbarcikai BSC
24/09/23 Hungary NB II	Kazincbarcikai BSC	2-2 HT 1-1	BVSC Zuglo

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Csakvari TK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BVSC Zuglo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Diosgyori VTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Ajka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Nagykanizsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fehervar FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyirmot SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Karcagi SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kazincbarcikai BSC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kecskemeti TE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kozarmisleny SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mezokovesd Zsory	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Soroksar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szentlorinc SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tiszakecske FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

BVSC Zuglo

LLDWLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Csakvari TK Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
24/06	Majosi SE Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
17/05	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	0	3	W
10/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
03/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
26/04	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
20/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
11/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
05/04	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
22/03	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	6	3	L

Kazincbarcikai BSC

LLLLDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	DEAC Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
11/07	Kisvarda FC Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
26/06	MTK Budapest Europe Friendlies	1-4	2-4	–	–	L
15/05	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
02/05	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	2-0	2-1	6	6	W
24/04	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/04	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-3	0-4	4	4	L
11/04	Ujpest Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
04/04	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-1	1-5	1	5	L
22/03	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	1-1	1-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BVSC Zuglo vs Kazincbarcikai BSC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kazincbarcikai BSC win (40%). Probabilities: BVSC Zuglo 31%, draw 29%, Kazincbarcikai BSC 40%.

How many goals are expected in BVSC Zuglo vs Kazincbarcikai BSC?

The model expects 2.42 goals (BVSC Zuglo 1.11 · Kazincbarcikai BSC 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in BVSC Zuglo vs Kazincbarcikai BSC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.