Football · Hungary NB II · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: FC Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
FC Ajka1.28
Kecskemeti TE1.74
1X2
27% 27% 46%
FC Ajka Draw Kecskemeti TE
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Ajka 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DDLLLWLWLL
Kecskemeti TE 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLWLWL
Head-to-head
FC Ajka 1–4 Kecskemeti TE (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ajka 1451 · Kecskemeti TE 1527
FC AjkaDrawKecskemeti TE
Our model27%26%47%
Market26%28%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kecskemeti TE (rating 1451 vs 1527).
  • H2H favours Kecskemeti TE: 4-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC AjkaKecskemeti TE
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 22 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.51 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.23.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 03.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ajka 104 Kecskemeti TE

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Hungary NB II
Kecskemeti TE0-1
HT 0-0
FC Ajka
21/09/25
Hungary NB II
FC Ajka1-3
HT 0-0
Kecskemeti TE
21/07/23
Europe Friendlies
Kecskemeti TE5-1
HT 2-0
FC Ajka
06/02/22
Hungary NB II
FC Ajka1-3
HT 0-3
Kecskemeti TE
15/08/21
Hungary NB II
Kecskemeti TE3-1
HT 1-1
FC Ajka

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Csakvari TK 000 000
1 BVSC Zuglo 000 000
1 Diosgyori VTK 000 000
1 FC Ajka 000 000
1 FC Nagykanizsa 000 000
1 Fehervar FC 000 000
1 Gyirmot SE 000 000
1 Karcagi SE 000 000
1 Kazincbarcikai BSC 000 000
1 Kecskemeti TE 000 000
1 Kozarmisleny SE 000 000
1 Mezokovesd Zsory 000 000
1 Soroksar 000 000
1 Szeged-Csanad Grosics 000 000
1 Szentlorinc SE 000 000
1 Tiszakecske FC 000 000

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC AjkaKecskemeti TE
Csakvari TK 0-2 L 1-6 L
Vasas SC 1-2 L 1-5 L
Soroksar 1-3 L 0-3 L
Mezokovesd Zsory 1-1 D 2-1 W
Kozarmisleny SE 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ajka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ajka

DDLLLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Csakvari TK
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 61 L
11/07 Gyirmot SE
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 60 L
08/07 SC Sopron
Europe Friendlies
0-1 3-1 30 W
04/07 Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Europe Friendlies
0-3 0-3 80 L
01/07 Zalaegerszegi TE
Europe Friendlies
2-1 3-2 51 W
17/05 Vasas SC
Hungary NB II
0-1 1-2 13 L
10/05 Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Hungary NB II
0-1 0-3 L
03/05 Soroksar
Hungary NB II
0-3 1-3 24 L
26/04 Mezokovesd Zsory
Hungary NB II
1-1 1-1 26 D
19/04 Kozarmisleny SE
Hungary NB II
1-1 1-1 57 D

Kecskemeti TE

LWWWWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Vasas SC
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-5 L
04/07 MTK Budapest
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-2 W
17/05 Soroksar
Hungary NB II
0-1 0-3 64 L
10/05 Mezokovesd Zsory
Hungary NB II
1-1 2-1 94 W
03/05 Kozarmisleny SE
Hungary NB II
0-1 1-2 25 L
26/04 Tiszakecske FC
Hungary NB II
3-1 5-1 91 W
19/04 Karcagi SE
Hungary NB II
2-0 2-1 36 W
11/04 Bekescsabai Elore SE
Hungary NB II
0-0 2-0 W
05/04 Szentlorinc SE
Hungary NB II
1-0 3-0 32 W
22/03 Csakvari TK
Hungary NB II
1-2 1-6 76 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kecskemeti TE win (46%). Probabilities: FC Ajka 27%, draw 27%, Kecskemeti TE 46%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE?

The model expects 3.02 goals (FC Ajka 1.28 · Kecskemeti TE 1.74), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.