Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca C · 19/07, 19:00

Prediction: Buzios vs Barra Mansa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Buzios1.49
Barra Mansa1.26
1X2
41% 28% 31%
Buzios Draw Barra Mansa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Buzios 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLLDDWLWWD
Barra Mansa 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWWDDD
Head-to-head
Buzios 2–0 Barra Mansa (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Buzios 1497 · Barra Mansa 1514
BuziosDrawBarra Mansa
Our model41%28%31%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Buzios: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BuziosBarra Mansa
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 2.11.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.42.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.65.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Buzios 200 Barra Mansa

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
22/09/22
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2
Buzios3-1
HT 2-0
Barra Mansa
10/10/21
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2
Buzios5-2
HT 3-1
Barra Mansa

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBuziosBarra Mansa
Barcelona RJ 7-0 W 2-0 W
Vera Cruz RJ 5-2 W 1-0 W
Mageense FC 1-1 D 3-0 W
Tigres do Brasil 0-0 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Buzios

LLLDDWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Rio Barra
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-0 1-1 58 D
06/07 Rio Barra
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
1-0 1-0 08 W
28/06 Barcelona RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
3-0 7-0 113 W
08/06 Cardoso Moreira RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-1 0-2 54 L
31/05 Vera Cruz RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
1-0 5-2 47 W
24/05 Mageense FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-1 1-1 35 D
03/05 Tigres do Brasil
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-0 0-0 78 D
10/08 Duque Caxiense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
1-0 2-5 39 L
03/08 EC Resende
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
1-1 2-3 23 L
28/07 Uniao Central
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-3 1-7 L

Barra Mansa

LLWWLWWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Uni Souza
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-0 0-0 57 D
07/07 Uni Souza
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-0 0-0 42 D
03/07 Cardoso Moreira
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
1-0 2-2 64 D
07/06 Mageense FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-0 3-0 W
31/05 Barcelona RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
2-0 2-0 36 W
24/05 Brescia RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-1 0-2 58 L
17/05 Vera Cruz RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
1-0 1-0 38 W
11/05 Tigres do Brasil
Brazil Campeonato Carioca C
0-0 1-0 49 W
26/10 SE Paraty RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2
0-2 1-2 L
13/10 7 de Abril
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2
1-1 1-2 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Buzios vs Barra Mansa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Buzios win (41%). Probabilities: Buzios 41%, draw 28%, Barra Mansa 31%.

How many goals are expected in Buzios vs Barra Mansa?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Buzios 1.49 · Barra Mansa 1.26), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Buzios vs Barra Mansa?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.