Football · Croatia 2.NL · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: NK Uskok vs Varteks Varazdin

Team pages: NK Uskok · Varteks Varazdin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
NK Uskok1.95
Varteks Varazdin0.96
1X2
60% 23% 17%
NK Uskok Draw Varteks Varazdin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Uskok 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLLLWL
Varteks Varazdin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDDLLWLL
Head-to-head
NK Uskok 2–0 Varteks Varazdin (2 last)
  • Varteks Varazdin1-3NK Uskok
  • NK Uskok3-0Varteks Varazdin
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Uskok 1502 · Varteks Varazdin 1441
NK UskokDrawVarteks Varazdin
Our model59%24%17%
Market60%22%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Uskok (rating 1502 vs 1441).
  • H2H favours NK Uskok: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK UskokVarteks Varazdin
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.70.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/43/29%14/29/57%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.31.3 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.44.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Uskok 200 Varteks Varazdin

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Croatia 2.NL
Varteks Varazdin1-3
HT 0-1
NK Uskok
30/08/25
Croatia 2.NL
NK Uskok3-0
HT 2-0
Varteks Varazdin

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NK Uljanik 3300 939
2 NK Trnje 2200 506
3 NK Koprivnica 2110 754
4 NK Lucko 3111 424
5 NK Solin 3111 344
6 NK Dugo Selo 3111 244
7 NK Uskok 2101 313
8 NK Inker Zapresic 2101 333
8 NK Krizevci 2101 333
10 Bjelovar 2101 453
11 NK Grobnican 2101 133
12 NK Jarun 2020 552
13 NK Slavonija Pozega 2011 561
14 NK Zagora 2011 791
15 NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2002 260
16 Varteks Varazdin 2002 040

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK UskokVarteks Varazdin
NK Solin 1-3 L 3-2 W
Mladost Zdralovi 2-3 L 0-2 L
NK Uljanik 3-4 L 0-3 L
NK Lucko 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Uskok (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Uskok

WDLLWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 NK Dugo Selo
Croatia 2.NL
0-1 0-1 35 L
22/08 NK Grobnican
Croatia 2.NL
1-0 3-0 93 W
29/05 NK Solin
Croatia 2.NL
0-1 1-3 62 L
23/05 Mladost Zdralovi
Croatia 2.NL
2-3 L
16/05 NK Uljanik
Croatia 2.NL
2-2 3-4 47 L
09/05 NK Trnje
Croatia 2.NL
2-0 2-1 72 W
02/05 NK Dugo Selo
Croatia 2.NL
1-2 L
24/04 NK Grobnican
Croatia 2.NL
1-3 L
17/04 NK Kustosija
Croatia 2.NL
0-0 0-0 63 D
11/04 NK Lucko
Croatia 2.NL
0-0 1-0 97 W

Varteks Varazdin

LLWDDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 NK Krizevci
Croatia 2.NL
0-1 0-3 07 L
30/05 HNK Segesta
Croatia 2.NL
1-1 2-3 14 L
23/05 NK Krizevci
Croatia 2.NL
2-0 W
16/05 NK Croatia Dakovo
Croatia 2.NL
0-1 L
09/05 Jadran LP
Croatia 2.NL
1-2 L
02/05 NK Lucko
Croatia 2.NL
0-1 1-1 36 D
24/04 NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatia 2.NL
0-0 0-0 21 D
17/04 NK Solin
Croatia 2.NL
2-0 3-2 16 W
11/04 Mladost Zdralovi
Croatia 2.NL
0-2 0-2 43 L
02/04 NK Uljanik
Croatia 2.NL
0-3 0-3 24 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Uskok vs Varteks Varazdin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Uskok win (60%). Probabilities: NK Uskok 60%, draw 23%, Varteks Varazdin 17%.

How many goals are expected in NK Uskok vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model expects 2.91 goals (NK Uskok 1.95 · Varteks Varazdin 0.96), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Uskok vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.