Prediction: 12 de Octubre vs Atletico Colegiales

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
12 de Octubre2.14
Atletico Colegiales0.93
1X2
65% 20% 15%
12 de Octubre Draw Atletico Colegiales
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
12 de Octubre 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WDDDWWDLWD
Atletico Colegiales 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWLLDL
Head-to-head
12 de Octubre 2–2 Atletico Colegiales (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 12 de Octubre 1551 · Atletico Colegiales 1449
12 de OctubreDrawAtletico Colegiales
Our model64%22%14%
Market65%19%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Octubre (rating 1551 vs 1449).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

12 de OctubreAtletico Colegiales
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91.7 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.61.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.55.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · 12 de Octubre 202 Atletico Colegiales

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/10/25
Paraguay Tercera Division
12 de Octubre3-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Colegiales
20/06/25
Paraguay Tercera Division
Atletico Colegiales1-3
HT 1-2
12 de Octubre
23/08/23
Paraguay Division Intermedia
12 de Octubre0-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Colegiales
17/05/23
Paraguay Division Intermedia
Atletico Colegiales2-0
HT 0-0
12 de Octubre

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent12 de OctubreAtletico Colegiales
24 de Setiembre 3-2 W 1-1 D
Atlantida SC 3-2 W 0-3 L
Club Olimpia de Ita 1-1 D 2-3 L
Club General Martin Ledesma 1-1 D 2-3 L
Sportivo Iteno 3-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Octubre (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

12 de Octubre

WDDDWWDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Juventud Ypanense
Paraguay Cup
0-1 1-1 125 D
13/07 12 De Octubre San Domingo
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 1-0 49 W
05/07 Club Sport Colombia
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-2 87 L
28/06 29 de Septiembre FBC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-0 69 D
06/06 24 de Setiembre
Paraguay Tercera Division
2-1 3-2 78 W
02/06 Atlantida SC
Paraguay Cup
1-1 3-2 16 W
30/05 Atlantida SC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-0 33 D
25/05 Club Olimpia de Ita
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-1 1-1 47 D
21/05 Club General Martin Ledesma
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 1-1 67 D
15/05 Sportivo Iteno
Paraguay Tercera Division
2-0 3-0 54 W

Atletico Colegiales

DWDWLWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 Fernando de la Mora
Paraguay Cup
0-5 0-11 03 L
12/07 24 de Setiembre
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 1-1 111 D
08/07 Club General Martin Ledesma
Paraguay Tercera Division
2-1 2-3 47 L
05/07 Atlantida SC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-3 46 L
02/07 Club Oriental Asuncion
Paraguay Cup
2-0 5-2 W
26/06 Club Olimpia de Ita
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 2-3 23 L
11/06 CS Limpeno
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 2-1 65 W
06/06 Sportivo Iteno
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 1-1 12 D
02/06 Club General Diaz
Paraguay Cup
1-1 3-2 88 W
23/05 Silvio Pettirossi
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-1 1-1 105 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 12 de Octubre vs Atletico Colegiales?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 12 de Octubre win (65%). Probabilities: 12 de Octubre 65%, draw 20%, Atletico Colegiales 15%.

How many goals are expected in 12 de Octubre vs Atletico Colegiales?

The model expects 3.07 goals (12 de Octubre 2.14 · Atletico Colegiales 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in 12 de Octubre vs Atletico Colegiales?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.