Football · Paraguay Tercera Division · 26/07, 20:00

Prediction: 12 De Octubre San Domingo vs Club Sport Colombia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

12 De Octubre San Domingo1.16

Club Sport Colombia1.62

1X2

26% 27% 47%

12 De Octubre San Domingo Draw Club Sport Colombia

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

12 De Octubre San Domingo 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLDDDLL

Club Sport Colombia 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWLWL

Head-to-head

12 De Octubre San Domingo 1–1 Club Sport Colombia (2 last)

12 De Octubre San Domingo3-1Club Sport Colombia
Club Sport Colombia2-012 De Octubre San Domingo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 12 De Octubre San Domingo 1462 · Club Sport Colombia 1536

	12 De Octubre San Domingo	Draw	Club Sport Colombia
Our model	26%	27%	47%
Market	26%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Sport Colombia (rating 1462 vs 1536).
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	12 De Octubre San Domingo	Club Sport Colombia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.9	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:47 +4’	3.40	3.40	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 12 De Octubre San Domingo 1–0–1 Club Sport Colombia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/24 Paraguay Tercera Division	12 De Octubre San Domingo	3-1 HT 1-0	Club Sport Colombia
22/06/24 Paraguay Tercera Division	Club Sport Colombia	2-0 HT 0-0	12 De Octubre San Domingo

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	12 De Octubre San Domingo	Club Sport Colombia
29 de Septiembre FBC	2-3 L	1-0 W
12 de Octubre	0-1 L	2-0 W
Club Olimpia de Ita	2-2 D	5-0 W
24 de Setiembre	2-2 D	2-0 W
Atlantida SC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Club General Martin Ledesma	2-0 W	2-2 D
Sportivo Iteno	1-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club Sport Colombia (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

12 De Octubre San Domingo

WDLWLDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division	0-1	2-3	6	2	L
13/07	12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
08/07	Club Olimpia de Ita Paraguay Tercera Division	2-1	2-2	8	6	D
05/07	24 de Setiembre Paraguay Tercera Division	0-1	2-2	2	6	D
28/06	Atlantida SC Paraguay Tercera Division	1-0	1-1	3	11	D
09/06	24 de Setiembre Paraguay Cup	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
06/06	Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division	2-0	2-0	2	6	W
30/05	Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division	1-1	1-5	3	5	L
24/05	CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division	0-0	0-0	14	9	D
04/05	Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division	1-2	5-3	4	6	W

Club Sport Colombia

DWDWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Cup	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
12/07	29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/07	Atlantida SC Paraguay Tercera Division	0-2	0-2	1	5	L
05/07	12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
01/07	Club Pilcomayo FBC Paraguay Cup	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
27/06	24 de Setiembre Paraguay Tercera Division	0-0	2-0	9	7	W
06/06	Club Olimpia de Ita Paraguay Tercera Division	3-0	5-0	2	2	W
30/05	Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division	1-1	2-2	6	9	D
24/05	Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
11/05	River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 12 De Octubre San Domingo vs Club Sport Colombia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Sport Colombia win (47%). Probabilities: 12 De Octubre San Domingo 26%, draw 27%, Club Sport Colombia 47%.

How many goals are expected in 12 De Octubre San Domingo vs Club Sport Colombia?

The model expects 2.77 goals (12 De Octubre San Domingo 1.16 · Club Sport Colombia 1.62), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 12 De Octubre San Domingo vs Club Sport Colombia?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.