Football · Paraguay Tercera Division · 18/07, 18:00
Prediction: Sportivo Iteno vs River Plate Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Sportivo Iteno0.84
River Plate Asuncion1.23
1X2
Sportivo Iteno
Draw
River Plate Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Iteno
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
River Plate Asuncion
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Iteno
1–2–3
River Plate Asuncion
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Iteno 1481 · River Plate Asuncion 1580
| Sportivo Iteno | Draw | River Plate Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 32% | 44% |
| Market | 26% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate Asuncion (rating 1481 vs 1580).
- H2H favours River Plate Asuncion: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Iteno | River Plate Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Iteno 1–2–3 River Plate Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia | River Plate Asuncion | 4-1 | Sportivo Iteno |
| 10/06/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sportivo Iteno | 1-4 HT 1-3 | River Plate Asuncion |
| 25/08/18 Paraguay Division Intermedia | River Plate Asuncion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Iteno |
| 20/05/18 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sportivo Iteno | 0-0 | River Plate Asuncion |
| 16/07/17 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sportivo Iteno | 0-0 HT 0-0 | River Plate Asuncion |
| 07/04/17 Paraguay Division Intermedia | River Plate Asuncion | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Iteno |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Iteno | River Plate Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Cristobal Colon JAS | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Presidente Hayes | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| 3 de Febrero FBC | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Atletico Colegiales | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Club Sport Colombia | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| 29 de Septiembre FBC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: River Plate Asuncion (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Iteno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Club 1 de Marzo Fdm Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | 3 de Febrero FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 15/05 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
River Plate Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 10/06 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | 3 de Febrero FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Club 1 de Marzo Pilar Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Iteno vs River Plate Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an River Plate Asuncion win (45%). Probabilities: Sportivo Iteno 25%, draw 29%, River Plate Asuncion 45%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Iteno vs River Plate Asuncion?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Sportivo Iteno 0.84 · River Plate Asuncion 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Iteno vs River Plate Asuncion?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.