Football · Costa Rica Super Cup · 17/07, 16:00

Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Deportivo Saprissa1.28
Herediano1.28
1X2
36% 28% 36%
Deportivo Saprissa Draw Herediano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Saprissa 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWDWWL
Herediano 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWDLWW
Head-to-head
Deportivo Saprissa 2–2–2 Herediano (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Saprissa 1557 · Herediano 1576
Deportivo SaprissaDrawHerediano
Our model35%29%35%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo SaprissaHerediano
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.91 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.82 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.24.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Saprissa 222 Herediano

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Costa Rica Primera Division
Herediano2-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Saprissa
14/05/26
Costa Rica Primera Division
Deportivo Saprissa2-1
HT 2-1
Herediano
09/03/26
Costa Rica Primera Division
Deportivo Saprissa2-1
HT 0-0
Herediano
18/01/26
Costa Rica Primera Division
Herediano2-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Saprissa
23/11/25
Costa Rica Primera Division
Deportivo Saprissa1-1
HT 0-0
Herediano
18/09/25
Costa Rica Primera Division
Herediano3-3
HT 2-2
Deportivo Saprissa

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo SaprissaHerediano
Puntarenas 3-1 W 1-0 W
Alajuelense 1-1 D 1-0 W
Sporting San Jose 3-1 W 0-0 D
Municipal Perez Zeledon 4-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Saprissa

WLWDWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Herediano
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-2 36 L
14/05 Herediano
Costa Rica Primera Division
2-1 2-1 23 W
11/05 Municipal Liberia
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 2-0 108 W
04/05 Municipal Liberia
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-1 1-1 35 D
27/04 Puntarenas
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 3-1 72 W
23/04 Guadalupe FC
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 5-0 55 W
20/04 Alajuelense
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-1 1-1 76 D
16/04 Sporting San Jose
Costa Rica Cup
1-0 3-1 85 W
12/04 Municipal Liberia
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 1-2 165 L
05/04 Municipal Perez Zeledon
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 4-0 78 W

Herediano

WWWWDWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 Alajuelense
Costa Rica Super Cup
0-0 1-0 13 W
17/05 Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 2-0 66 W
14/05 Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-2 1-2 63 L
10/05 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-0 66 D
03/05 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 1-0 19 W
26/04 Sporting San Jose
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-0 63 D
23/04 Municipal Perez Zeledon
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 1-0 94 W
19/04 AD San Carlos
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 1-0 56 W
11/04 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-1 2-1 16 W
06/04 Puntarenas
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 1-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Saprissa win (36%). Probabilities: Deportivo Saprissa 36%, draw 28%, Herediano 36%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Deportivo Saprissa 1.28 · Herediano 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.