Prediction: Alajuelense vs Herediano
| Alajuelense | Draw | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Herediano: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alajuelense | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alajuelense 2–1–3 Herediano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Alajuelense |
| 08/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Herediano |
| 17/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Alajuelense |
| 11/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Herediano |
| 21/07/25 Costa Rica Cup | Herediano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Alajuelense |
| 29/05/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alajuelense |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alajuelense | Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas | 5-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Sporting San Jose | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| AD San Carlos | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Alajuelense (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alajuelense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 06/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 22/03 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 18/03 | Los Angeles FC CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/03 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 11/03 | Los Angeles FC CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Herediano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alajuelense vs Herediano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alajuelense win (45%). Probabilities: Alajuelense 45%, draw 29%, Herediano 26%.
How many goals are expected in Alajuelense vs Herediano?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Alajuelense 1.42 · Herediano 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alajuelense vs Herediano?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.