Football · Germany Regionalliga South West · 26/09, 14:00

Prediction: TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg

Team pages: TSV Steinbach · FC 08 Homburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.88Total

TSV Steinbach1.92

FC 08 Homburg1.97

1X2

38% 23% 40%

TSV Steinbach Draw FC 08 Homburg

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Steinbach 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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FC 08 Homburg 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLDWWD

Head-to-head

TSV Steinbach 0–3–3 FC 08 Homburg (6 last)

TSV Steinbach1-4FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg1-1TSV Steinbach
TSV Steinbach1-1FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg0-0TSV Steinbach
TSV Steinbach1-2FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg3-0TSV Steinbach

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC 08 Homburg (rating 1475 vs 1537).
H2H favours FC 08 Homburg: 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TSV Steinbach	FC 08 Homburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.86

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.77 → 2.77	Pinn 2.77
X	3.67 → 3.67	Pinn 3.67
2	2.18 → 2.18	Pinn 2.18

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +63’	2.77	3.67	2.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Steinbach 0–3–3 FC 08 Homburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Germany Regionalliga South West	TSV Steinbach	1-4 HT 1-1	FC 08 Homburg
13/09/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	FC 08 Homburg	1-1 HT 0-1	TSV Steinbach
05/04/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	TSV Steinbach	1-1 HT 1-0	FC 08 Homburg
05/10/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	FC 08 Homburg	0-0 HT 0-0	TSV Steinbach
11/05/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	TSV Steinbach	1-2 HT 0-1	FC 08 Homburg
04/11/23 Germany Regionalliga South West	FC 08 Homburg	3-0 HT 0-0	TSV Steinbach

Standings · Germany Regionalliga South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kickers Offenbach	8	6	1	1	19	8	19
2	SGV Freiberg	8	5	3	0	22	7	18
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	5	1	2	15	11	16
4	FC 08 Homburg	8	4	2	2	12	11	14
5	Freiburg II	8	3	4	1	16	11	13
6	Eintracht Trier	8	4	1	3	9	7	13
7	FSV Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	13	9	12
8	VfR Aalen	8	3	3	2	11	9	12
9	Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	15	19	12
10	VfR Mannheim	8	2	5	1	9	8	11
11	Hessen Kassel	8	3	1	4	14	15	10
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	3	1	4	11	12	10
13	TSV Steinbach	8	2	3	3	12	13	9
14	Kaiserslautern II	8	2	2	4	6	17	8
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	1	3	5	11	17	6
16	Mainz II	8	2	0	6	8	18	6
17	SG Barockstadt	8	1	2	5	12	16	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	8	0	4	4	11	18	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Steinbach	FC 08 Homburg
Eintracht Frankfurt II	0-1 L	2-1 W
Hessen Kassel	2-1 W	2-2 D
Kaiserslautern II	0-0 D	2-1 W
Sandhausen	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC 08 Homburg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Steinbach

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	FC Astoria Walldorf Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/09	Kickers Offenbach Germany Regionalliga South West	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-2	3-4	–	–	L
29/08	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/05	Bahlinger SC Germany Regionalliga South West	3-2	4-2	–	–	W
09/05	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

FC 08 Homburg

WWWLWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/09	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	SGV Freiberg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
09/05	Alzenau Germany Regionalliga South West	3-1	5-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC 08 Homburg win (40%). Probabilities: TSV Steinbach 38%, draw 23%, FC 08 Homburg 40%.

How many goals are expected in TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg?

The model expects 3.88 goals (TSV Steinbach 1.92 · FC 08 Homburg 1.97), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.