Football · Germany Regionalliga South West · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC 08 Homburg vs SG Barockstadt

Team pages: FC 08 Homburg · SG Barockstadt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

FC 08 Homburg2.24

SG Barockstadt1.22

1X2

59% 21% 19%

FC 08 Homburg Draw SG Barockstadt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC 08 Homburg 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDWWDL

SG Barockstadt 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDDLLLLL

Head-to-head

FC 08 Homburg 0–5–1 SG Barockstadt (6 last)

FC 08 Homburg1-1SG Barockstadt
SG Barockstadt3-3FC 08 Homburg
SG Barockstadt1-1FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg1-1SG Barockstadt
FC 08 Homburg0-2SG Barockstadt
SG Barockstadt2-2FC 08 Homburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC 08 Homburg (rating 1514 vs 1417).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC 08 Homburg	SG Barockstadt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.97

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.44
X	4.55 → 4.55	Pinn 4.55
2	5.56 → 5.56	Pinn 5.56

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:17 +67’	1.44	4.55	5.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC 08 Homburg 0–5–1 SG Barockstadt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Germany Regionalliga South West	FC 08 Homburg	1-1 HT 0-0	SG Barockstadt
26/10/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	3-3 HT 2-1	FC 08 Homburg
17/05/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	1-1 HT 0-0	FC 08 Homburg
16/11/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	FC 08 Homburg	1-1 HT 0-0	SG Barockstadt
10/12/23 Germany Regionalliga South West	FC 08 Homburg	0-2 HT 0-1	SG Barockstadt
26/08/23 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	2-2 HT 1-1	FC 08 Homburg

Standings · Germany Regionalliga South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SGV Freiberg	9	5	4	0	24	9	19
2	Kickers Offenbach	9	6	1	2	20	11	19
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
4	Eintracht Trier	9	5	1	3	10	7	16
5	VfR Aalen	9	4	3	2	14	10	15
6	VfR Mannheim	9	3	5	1	14	9	14
7	FC 08 Homburg	9	4	2	3	12	12	14
8	Freiburg II	8	3	4	1	16	11	13
9	FSV Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	13	9	12
10	TSV Steinbach	9	3	3	3	13	13	12
11	Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	15	19	12
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	3	1	4	11	12	10
13	Hessen Kassel	9	3	1	5	15	17	10
14	Mainz II	9	3	0	6	10	19	9
15	Kaiserslautern II	8	2	2	4	6	17	8
16	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	1	3	5	11	17	6
17	SG Barockstadt	9	1	2	6	13	21	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	9	0	4	5	11	19	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC 08 Homburg	SG Barockstadt
Eintracht Frankfurt II	2-1 W	1-2 L
Kaiserslautern II	2-1 W	0-1 L
VfR Mannheim	1-1 D	1-5 L
Stuttgarter Kickers	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sandhausen	3-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC 08 Homburg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC 08 Homburg

WWLWLDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/09	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	SGV Freiberg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

SG Barockstadt

LWLDDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
19/09	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/09	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
28/08	FSV Frankfurt Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	1-4	3-4	–	–	L
08/08	Eintracht Trier Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	FSV Frankfurt Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC 08 Homburg vs SG Barockstadt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC 08 Homburg win (59%). Probabilities: FC 08 Homburg 59%, draw 21%, SG Barockstadt 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC 08 Homburg vs SG Barockstadt?

The model expects 3.46 goals (FC 08 Homburg 2.24 · SG Barockstadt 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC 08 Homburg vs SG Barockstadt?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.