Football · Albania Championship · 28/10, 13:30

Prediction: FK Vora vs Vllaznia Shkoder

Team pages: FK Vora · Vllaznia Shkoder

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

FK Vora1.29

Vllaznia Shkoder1.09

1X2

40% 29% 31%

FK Vora Draw Vllaznia Shkoder

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Vora 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLDDWL

Vllaznia Shkoder 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

FK Vora 0–2–4 Vllaznia Shkoder (6 last)

FK Vora0-0Vllaznia Shkoder
FK Vora0-1Vllaznia Shkoder
Vllaznia Shkoder0-0FK Vora
Vllaznia Shkoder2-0FK Vora
FK Vora1-6Vllaznia Shkoder
Vllaznia Shkoder3-1FK Vora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Vora 1484 · Vllaznia Shkoder 1471

	FK Vora	Draw	Vllaznia Shkoder
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vllaznia Shkoder: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Vora	Vllaznia Shkoder
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.4	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:00 +7’	2.20	3.20	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Vora 0–2–4 Vllaznia Shkoder

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Albania Championship	FK Vora	0-0 HT 0-0	Vllaznia Shkoder
06/02/26 Albania Championship	FK Vora	0-1 HT 0-1	Vllaznia Shkoder
04/12/25 Albania Championship	Vllaznia Shkoder	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Vora
28/09/25 Albania Championship	Vllaznia Shkoder	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Vora
16/02/19 Albania First Division	FK Vora	1-6 HT 0-2	Vllaznia Shkoder
03/11/18 Albania First Division	Vllaznia Shkoder	3-1 HT 1-0	FK Vora

Standings · Albania Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Teuta Durres	8	6	2	0	14	2	20
2	FK Egnatia	8	6	0	2	17	8	18
3	FC Dinamo City	8	5	0	3	12	9	15
4	KF Tirana	8	3	2	3	12	12	11
5	Laci	8	3	1	4	8	11	10
6	Skenderbeu Korce	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
7	AF Elbasani	8	1	5	2	9	10	8
8	Vllaznia Shkoder	8	2	2	4	9	13	8
9	FK Vora	8	2	2	4	8	13	8
10	Partizani Tirana	8	1	1	6	9	19	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Vora	Vllaznia Shkoder
Laci	0-1 L	0-2 L
Partizani Tirana	4-1 W	2-3 L
AF Elbasani	1-1 D	1-1 D
Skenderbeu Korce	1-1 D	2-2 D
Teuta Durres	0-2 L	0-2 L
KF Tirana	0-4 L	2-0 W
FK Egnatia	1-3 L	1-3 L
FC Dinamo City	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Vora (2 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Vora

DWWLLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Laci Albania Championship	0-0	0-1	0	6	L
18/10	Partizani Tirana Albania Championship	1-0	4-1	1	6	W
10/10	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
19/09	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	1-0	1-1	2	11	D
12/09	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
06/09	KF Tirana Albania Championship	0-2	0-4	6	4	L
31/08	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
23/08	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	Bylis Ballsh Albania Championship	1-1	5-2	0	0	W
06/05	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	0-2	2-2	–	–	D

Vllaznia Shkoder

LLDDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	KF Tirana Albania Championship	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
18/10	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
11/10	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/09	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
13/09	Laci Albania Championship	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
05/09	Partizani Tirana Albania Championship	1-2	2-3	8	3	L
29/08	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
21/08	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	0-0	2-2	2	4	D
31/05	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
23/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-1	1-2	1	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Vora vs Vllaznia Shkoder?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Vora win (40%). Probabilities: FK Vora 40%, draw 29%, Vllaznia Shkoder 31%.

How many goals are expected in FK Vora vs Vllaznia Shkoder?

The model expects 2.38 goals (FK Vora 1.29 · Vllaznia Shkoder 1.09), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Vora vs Vllaznia Shkoder?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.