Football · Albania Championship · 29/10, 18:30

Prediction: FK Egnatia vs Teuta Durres

Team pages: FK Egnatia · Teuta Durres

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

FK Egnatia1.36

Teuta Durres0.85

1X2

48% 29% 23%

FK Egnatia Draw Teuta Durres

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Egnatia 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWL

Teuta Durres 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

FK Egnatia 4–1–1 Teuta Durres (6 last)

Teuta Durres3-2FK Egnatia
FK Egnatia4-2Teuta Durres
FK Egnatia0-0Teuta Durres
Teuta Durres1-2FK Egnatia
Teuta Durres0-1FK Egnatia
FK Egnatia1-0Teuta Durres

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Egnatia 1591 · Teuta Durres 1561

	FK Egnatia	Draw	Teuta Durres
Our model	47%	30%	22%
Market	49%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Egnatia: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Egnatia	Teuta Durres
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.25

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:51 +19’	1.83	3.25	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Egnatia 4–1–1 Teuta Durres

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Albania Championship	Teuta Durres	3-2 HT 1-1	FK Egnatia
09/03/26 Albania Championship	FK Egnatia	4-2 HT 2-1	Teuta Durres
04/03/26 Albania Cup	FK Egnatia	0-0 HT 0-0	Teuta Durres
10/02/26 Albania Cup	Teuta Durres	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Egnatia
23/12/25 Albania Championship	Teuta Durres	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Egnatia
28/10/25 Albania Championship	FK Egnatia	1-0 HT 1-0	Teuta Durres

Standings · Albania Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Teuta Durres	8	6	2	0	14	2	20
2	FK Egnatia	8	6	0	2	17	8	18
3	FC Dinamo City	8	5	0	3	12	9	15
4	KF Tirana	8	3	2	3	12	12	11
5	Laci	8	3	1	4	8	11	10
6	Skenderbeu Korce	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
7	AF Elbasani	8	1	5	2	9	10	8
8	Vllaznia Shkoder	8	2	2	4	9	13	8
9	FK Vora	8	2	2	4	8	13	8
10	Partizani Tirana	8	1	1	6	9	19	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Egnatia	Teuta Durres
FC Dinamo City	1-2 L	2-0 W
Vllaznia Shkoder	3-1 W	2-0 W
Laci	2-0 W	3-1 W
Partizani Tirana	2-1 W	0-0 D
AF Elbasani	1-2 L	0-0 D
Skenderbeu Korce	2-1 W	2-0 W
FK Vora	3-1 W	2-0 W
KF Tirana	3-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Teuta Durres (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Egnatia

WWWWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
18/10	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	2-0	3-1	0	1	W
11/10	Laci Albania Championship	0-0	2-0	3	9	W
20/09	Partizani Tirana Albania Championship	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
13/09	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-2	1-2	2	8	L
04/09	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	FK Vora Albania Championship	0-0	3-1	3	1	W
23/08	KF Tirana Albania Championship	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
31/05	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	2-0	2-0	5	8	W
23/05	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	1-0	2-1	3	9	W

Teuta Durres

DWDWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
16/10	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
10/10	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	2-0	2-0	2	6	W
18/09	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	FK Vora Albania Championship	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Laci Albania Championship	2-0	3-1	6	5	W
30/08	KF Tirana Albania Championship	0-1	3-1	8	5	W
22/08	Partizani Tirana Albania Championship	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
10/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	1-1	3-2	8	1	W
06/05	KS Flamurtari Vlore Albania Championship	0-1	1-1	3	11	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Egnatia vs Teuta Durres?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Egnatia win (48%). Probabilities: FK Egnatia 48%, draw 29%, Teuta Durres 23%.

How many goals are expected in FK Egnatia vs Teuta Durres?

The model expects 2.21 goals (FK Egnatia 1.36 · Teuta Durres 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Egnatia vs Teuta Durres?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.