Football · Albania Championship · 06/09, 18:30

Prediction: FC Dinamo City vs AF Elbasani

Team pages: FC Dinamo City · AF Elbasani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FC Dinamo City1.28

AF Elbasani1.26

1X2

35% 30% 35%

FC Dinamo City Draw AF Elbasani

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dinamo City 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLLLW

AF Elbasani 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWWDD

Head-to-head

FC Dinamo City 1–2–3 AF Elbasani (6 last)

FC Dinamo City0-3AF Elbasani
FC Dinamo City4-1AF Elbasani
AF Elbasani2-0FC Dinamo City
FC Dinamo City1-1AF Elbasani
AF Elbasani1-0FC Dinamo City
AF Elbasani1-1FC Dinamo City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dinamo City 1507 · AF Elbasani 1484

	FC Dinamo City	Draw	AF Elbasani
Our model	36%	29%	35%
Market	35%	31%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AF Elbasani: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dinamo City	AF Elbasani
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.1	1.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.7	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.90

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
X	3.00 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90
2	3.00 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:51 +2’	2.25	3.00	3.00
23:10 +2’	2.10▼	3.00	3.25▲
07:42 +5’	2.55▲	2.90▼	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dinamo City 1–2–3 AF Elbasani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Albania Championship	FC Dinamo City	0-3 HT 0-3	AF Elbasani
04/04/26 Albania Championship	FC Dinamo City	4-1 HT 1-1	AF Elbasani
25/01/26 Albania Championship	AF Elbasani	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Dinamo City
22/11/25 Albania Championship	FC Dinamo City	1-1 HT 1-1	AF Elbasani
14/09/25 Albania Championship	AF Elbasani	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Dinamo City
16/03/25 Albania Championship	AF Elbasani	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Dinamo City

Standings · Albania Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Egnatia	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	Teuta Durres	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	Laci	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	FK Vora	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
5	FC Dinamo City	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
6	Vllaznia Shkoder	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
7	AF Elbasani	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
8	Partizani Tirana	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
9	Skenderbeu Korce	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
10	KF Tirana	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dinamo City	AF Elbasani
FK Vora	0-1 L	2-4 L
FK Egnatia	0-2 L	0-4 L
Vllaznia Shkoder	2-0 W	1-1 D
KF Tirana	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Dinamo City (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dinamo City

DLWDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
23/08	FK Vora Albania Championship	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
31/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
24/05	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-3	0-3	1	5	L
16/05	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
10/05	Partizani Tirana Albania Championship	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
06/05	FK Vora Albania Championship	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
27/04	KS Flamurtari Vlore Albania Championship	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
18/04	KF Tirana Albania Championship	0-0	1-1	5	1	D

AF Elbasani

WWLLLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
22/08	Laci Albania Championship	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/05	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
24/05	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	3-0	3-0	6	5	W
17/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-3	0-4	6	11	L
10/05	KF Tirana Albania Championship	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
06/05	Bylis Ballsh Albania Championship	0-0	1-2	8	4	L
02/05	FK Vora Albania Championship	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
27/04	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
18/04	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	0-1	2-1	8	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dinamo City vs AF Elbasani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Dinamo City win (35%). Probabilities: FC Dinamo City 35%, draw 30%, AF Elbasani 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dinamo City vs AF Elbasani?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FC Dinamo City 1.28 · AF Elbasani 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dinamo City vs AF Elbasani?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.