Football · Albania Championship · 05/09, 18:30

Prediction: Vllaznia Shkoder vs Partizani Tirana

Team pages: Vllaznia Shkoder · Partizani Tirana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Vllaznia Shkoder1.69

Partizani Tirana0.97

1X2

53% 27% 20%

Vllaznia Shkoder Draw Partizani Tirana

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Vllaznia Shkoder 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLLDD

Partizani Tirana 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLWDL

Head-to-head

Vllaznia Shkoder 4–1–1 Partizani Tirana (6 last)

Partizani Tirana0-2Vllaznia Shkoder
Vllaznia Shkoder1-0Partizani Tirana
Partizani Tirana1-1Vllaznia Shkoder
Vllaznia Shkoder4-1Partizani Tirana
Vllaznia Shkoder2-0Partizani Tirana
Partizani Tirana2-0Vllaznia Shkoder

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vllaznia Shkoder 1439 · Partizani Tirana 1439

	Vllaznia Shkoder	Draw	Partizani Tirana
Our model	53%	26%	20%
Market	53%	27%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vllaznia Shkoder: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vllaznia Shkoder	Partizani Tirana
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.30

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 00:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	4.33 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +5’	1.73	3.25	4.33
16:41 +4’	1.75▲	3.25	4.20▼
22:44 +7’	1.61▼	3.40▲	5.00▲
00:49 +6’	1.70▲	3.30▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vllaznia Shkoder 4–1–1 Partizani Tirana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Albania Championship	Partizani Tirana	0-2 HT 0-0	Vllaznia Shkoder
24/01/26 Albania Championship	Vllaznia Shkoder	1-0 HT 1-0	Partizani Tirana
23/11/25 Albania Championship	Partizani Tirana	1-1 HT 1-0	Vllaznia Shkoder
13/09/25 Albania Championship	Vllaznia Shkoder	4-1 HT 1-1	Partizani Tirana
05/03/25 Albania Championship	Vllaznia Shkoder	2-0 HT 0-0	Partizani Tirana
20/12/24 Albania Championship	Partizani Tirana	2-0 HT 1-0	Vllaznia Shkoder

Standings · Albania Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Egnatia	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	Teuta Durres	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	Laci	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	FK Vora	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
5	FC Dinamo City	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
6	Vllaznia Shkoder	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
7	AF Elbasani	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
8	Partizani Tirana	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
9	Skenderbeu Korce	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
10	KF Tirana	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vllaznia Shkoder	Partizani Tirana
AF Elbasani	1-1 D	0-3 L
FK Egnatia	1-2 L	0-2 L
FC Dinamo City	0-2 L	2-1 W
KS Flamurtari Vlore	2-0 W	1-4 L
KF Tirana	0-1 L	1-2 L
Bylis Ballsh	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vllaznia Shkoder (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vllaznia Shkoder

DLLLWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
21/08	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	0-0	2-2	2	4	D
31/05	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
23/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-1	1-2	1	9	L
16/05	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
10/05	KS Flamurtari Vlore Albania Championship	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
06/05	KF Tirana Albania Championship	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/05	Bylis Ballsh Albania Championship	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
27/04	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-2	1-3	8	8	L
18/04	FK Vora Albania Championship	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

Partizani Tirana

DLLDLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Laci Albania Championship	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
22/08	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
10/05	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
06/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
02/05	KS Flamurtari Vlore Albania Championship	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
25/04	KF Tirana Albania Championship	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/04	Bylis Ballsh Albania Championship	1-1	1-1	7	9	D
13/04	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-0	0-3	5	7	L
04/04	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
21/03	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vllaznia Shkoder vs Partizani Tirana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vllaznia Shkoder win (53%). Probabilities: Vllaznia Shkoder 53%, draw 27%, Partizani Tirana 20%.

How many goals are expected in Vllaznia Shkoder vs Partizani Tirana?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Vllaznia Shkoder 1.69 · Partizani Tirana 0.97), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vllaznia Shkoder vs Partizani Tirana?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.