Prediction: Thai Nguyen (W) vs TP HCM (W)
| Thai Nguyen (W) | Draw | TP HCM (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 29% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP HCM (W) (rating 1540 vs 1589).
- H2H favours TP HCM (W): 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thai Nguyen (W) | TP HCM (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thai Nguyen (W) 0–2–4 TP HCM (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Vietnam Championship Women | TP HCM (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Thai Nguyen (W) |
| 13/09/25 Vietnam Championship Women | Thai Nguyen (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | TP HCM (W) |
| 06/04/25 Vietnam Cup Women | TP HCM (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Thai Nguyen (W) |
| 31/03/25 Vietnam Cup Women | TP HCM (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Thai Nguyen (W) |
| 12/07/24 Vietnam Championship Women | TP HCM (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Thai Nguyen (W) |
| 22/12/23 Vietnam Championship Women | Thai Nguyen (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | TP HCM (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thai Nguyen (W) | TP HCM (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ha Noi (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Ha Noi II (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ha Nam (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Ho Chi Minh II (W) | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: TP HCM (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thai Nguyen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 27/05 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
2-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/10 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 08/10 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
TP HCM (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/06 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 19/11 | Melbourne City (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thai Nguyen (W) vs TP HCM (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an TP HCM (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Thai Nguyen (W) 24%, draw 30%, TP HCM (W) 47%.
How many goals are expected in Thai Nguyen (W) vs TP HCM (W)?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Thai Nguyen (W) 0.86 · TP HCM (W) 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Thai Nguyen (W) vs TP HCM (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.