Football · Argentina Nacional B · 26/07, 21:00
Prediction: Club Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Club Atletico Mitre1.03
Almirante Brown0.79
1X2
Club Atletico Mitre
Draw
Almirante Brown
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club Atletico Mitre
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Almirante Brown
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Atletico Mitre
2–4
Almirante Brown
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Atletico Mitre 1458 · Almirante Brown 1513
| Club Atletico Mitre | Draw | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 35% | 26% |
| Market | 40% | 34% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almirante Brown (rating 1458 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Almirante Brown: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atletico Mitre | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atletico Mitre 2–0–4 Almirante Brown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 17/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 27/07/24 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 10/03/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 21/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Colon | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 31 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 31 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 31 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 23 |
| 13 | All Boys | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 21 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 19 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Atletico Mitre | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| All Boys | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Los Andes | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Colon | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA San Miguel | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CA San Telmo | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Almirante Brown (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Atletico Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atletico Mitre win (39%). Probabilities: Club Atletico Mitre 39%, draw 34%, Almirante Brown 26%.
How many goals are expected in Club Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Club Atletico Mitre 1.03 · Almirante Brown 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.