Prediction: Mamelodi Sundowns (W) vs TS Galaxy (W)
See it on the live radar ↗| Mamelodi Sundowns (W) | Draw | TS Galaxy (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 70% | 18% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mamelodi Sundowns (W) (rating 1637 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Mamelodi Sundowns (W): 4-0-0.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mamelodi Sundowns (W) | TS Galaxy (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.4 / 0 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 7.7 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mamelodi Sundowns (W) 4–0–0 TS Galaxy (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 South Africa League Women | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | TS Galaxy (W) |
| 31/08/24 South Africa League Women | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | TS Galaxy (W) |
| 09/03/24 South Africa League Women | TS Galaxy (W) | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) |
| 06/12/23 South Africa League Women | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | TS Galaxy (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) | TS Galaxy (W) |
|---|---|---|
| UWC (W) | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Richmond United (W) | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| University of Pretoria (W) | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Diepkloof FC (W) | 6-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Copper Belts FC (W) | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Johannesburg Uni (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mamelodi Sundowns (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | UWC (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Richmond United (W) South Africa League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | University of Pretoria (W) South Africa League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Diepkloof FC (W) South Africa League Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 07/12 | TS Galaxy (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/11 | Copper Belts FC (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/11 | Johannesburg Uni (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | Durban Ladies FC (W) South Africa League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 19/10 | Johannesburg Uni (W) South Africa League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | University of Pretoria (W) South Africa League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
TS Galaxy (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Richmond United (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Diepkloof FC (W) South Africa League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Copper Belts FC (W) South Africa League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | UWC (W) South Africa League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/12 | Mamelodi Sundowns (W) South Africa League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/11 | University of Pretoria (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/09 | Ezemvelo (W) South Africa League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 24/09 | UCT (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/08 | Johannesburg Uni (W) South Africa League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Royal AM FC (W) South Africa League Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mamelodi Sundowns (W) vs TS Galaxy (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mamelodi Sundowns (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Mamelodi Sundowns (W) 70%, draw 18%, TS Galaxy (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Mamelodi Sundowns (W) vs TS Galaxy (W)?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Mamelodi Sundowns (W) 2.4 · TS Galaxy (W) 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mamelodi Sundowns (W) vs TS Galaxy (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.