Football · Poland League Women · 26/09, 15:30
Prediction: Unia Lublin (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Team pages: Unia Lublin (W) · Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Unia Lublin (W)1.47
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)1.97
1X2
Unia Lublin (W)
Draw
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Unia Lublin (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Unia Lublin (W)
1–1
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
(2 last)
- Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)1-0Unia Lublin (W)
- Unia Lublin (W)6-0Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Unia Lublin (W) 1399 · Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) 1455
| Unia Lublin (W) | Draw | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 29% | 22% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) (rating 1399 vs 1455).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Unia Lublin (W) | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.8 | 1.2 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 3 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Unia Lublin (W) 1–0–1 Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Poland League Women | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Unia Lublin (W) |
| 20/09/25 Poland League Women | Unia Lublin (W) | 6-0 | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) |
Standings · Poland League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Medyk Konin (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | KKP Bydgoszcz (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 3 |
| 10 | MKS Myszkow (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 1 |
| 11 | Unia Lublin (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| 12 | Lech Poznan UAM II (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Unia Lublin (W) | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| KKP Bydgoszcz (W) | 0-6 L | 4-1 W |
| MKS Myszkow (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) | 1-4 L | 0-8 L |
| LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Medyk Konin (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 6 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Unia Lublin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland League Women |
– | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women |
– | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | MKS Myszkow (W) Poland League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Poland League Women |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) Poland League Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland League Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | MKS Myszkow (W) Poland League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Poland League Women |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) Poland League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland League Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Unia Lublin (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Unia Lublin (W) 29%, draw 23%, Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) 49%.
How many goals are expected in Unia Lublin (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Unia Lublin (W) 1.47 · Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) 1.97), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Unia Lublin (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.