Football · Poland League Women · 26/09, 15:30

Prediction: UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

Team pages: UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) · Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)1.72

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)1.77

1X2

37% 23% 39%

UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Draw Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDDLW

Head-to-head

UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 1–2–0 Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) (3 last)

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)2-2UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)2-2Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)1-5UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 1530 · Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 1537

	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)	Draw	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 4.3	3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +14’	2.38	4.00	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 1–2–0 Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Poland League Women	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	2-2 HT 2-2	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
21/09/25 Poland League Women	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)	2-2	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
03/09/23 Poland League Women	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	1-5 HT 0-2	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)

Standings · Poland League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)	5	5	0	0	16	2	15
2	Resovia Rzeszow (W)	5	3	2	0	10	2	11
3	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)	5	3	1	1	16	5	10
4	Medyk Konin (W)	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
5	LZS Stare Oborzyska (W)	6	3	1	2	9	10	10
6	Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)	5	3	0	2	10	10	9
7	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	5	2	2	1	10	5	8
8	KKP Bydgoszcz (W)	5	2	1	2	10	4	7
9	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)	5	1	0	4	5	19	3
10	MKS Myszkow (W)	5	0	1	4	3	14	1
11	Unia Lublin (W)	5	0	1	4	2	17	1
12	Lech Poznan UAM II (W)	5	0	0	5	3	12	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
Lech Poznan UAM II (W)	3-2 W	3-1 W
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)	8-0 W	2-1 W
Resovia Rzeszow (W)	0-0 D	2-2 D
Unia Lublin (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
KKP Bydgoszcz (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
LZS Stare Oborzyska (W)	1-1 D	4-0 W
Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)	1-3 L	2-3 L
Medyk Konin (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Lech Poznan UAM II (W) Poland League Women	1-0	3-2	0	1	W
23/08	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) Poland League Women	–	8-0	–	–	W
15/08	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland League Women	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
09/08	Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
01/08	Unia Lublin (W) Poland League Women	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/06	KKP Warszawa (W) Poland League Women	1-0	3-1	12	1	W
31/05	KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
24/05	LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
10/05	Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women	0-0	1-3	8	4	L
26/04	Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women	0-0	3-0	4	0	W

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

WDWLWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
23/08	Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women	–	2-3	–	–	L
16/08	Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
02/08	Lech Poznan UAM II (W) Poland League Women	–	3-1	–	–	W
04/06	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) Poland League Women	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
31/05	Legia Warsaw (W) Poland League Women	1-2	2-5	3	1	L
27/05	KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
23/05	Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
09/05	Unia Lublin (W) Poland League Women	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) win (39%). Probabilities: UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 37%, draw 23%, Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)?

The model expects 3.49 goals (UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 1.72 · Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 1.77), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.