Football · Poland League Women · 15/11, 15:00

Prediction: Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)

Team pages: Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) · Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)2.74

Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)1.33

1X2

67% 17% 16%

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) Draw Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 2–1–2 Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) (5 last)

Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)1-2Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)3-0Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)3-2Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)0-0Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)3-1Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 1602 · Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) 1511

	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	Draw	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Our model	66%	18%	16%
Market	67%	17%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) (rating 1602 vs 1511).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.7	2 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0.2	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.8	3.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.25

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:44 +30’	1.33	5.25	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 2–1–2 Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/26 Poland League Women	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
08/11/25 Poland League Women	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
18/08/24 Poland League Women	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)	3-2 HT 3-1	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
24/02/24 Poland League Women	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)
02/05/21 Poland League Women	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

Standings · Poland League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	10	7	2	1	25	7	23
2	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)	10	7	1	2	26	11	22
3	Medyk Konin (W)	10	6	3	1	25	8	21
4	Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)	11	7	0	4	23	16	21
5	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)	10	6	1	3	23	14	19
6	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)	9	5	0	4	19	24	15
7	Resovia Rzeszow (W)	11	4	3	4	15	15	15
8	LZS Stare Oborzyska (W)	10	4	2	4	14	17	14
9	KKP Bydgoszcz (W)	9	2	2	5	13	11	8
10	MKS Myszkow (W)	10	1	3	6	8	21	6
11	Lech Poznan UAM II (W)	10	1	2	7	10	24	5
12	Unia Lublin (W)	10	0	1	9	7	40	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)	Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)
Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Resovia Rzeszow (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Unia Lublin (W)	6-1 W	4-3 W
MKS Myszkow (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)	1-0 W	0-8 L
LZS Stare Oborzyska (W)	4-0 W	1-4 L
Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)	2-3 L	1-4 L
Medyk Konin (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Lech Poznan UAM II (W)	3-1 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland League Women	1-1	4-1	2	5	W
31/10	Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	Unia Lublin (W) Poland League Women	6-0	6-1	8	3	W
04/10	MKS Myszkow (W) Poland League Women	–	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Poland League Women	1-0	1-0	8	8	W
29/08	LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
23/08	Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women	–	2-3	–	–	L
16/08	Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
02/08	Lech Poznan UAM II (W) Poland League Women	–	3-1	–	–	W

Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Lech Poznan UAM II (W) Poland League Women	1-0	6-0	11	3	W
18/10	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland League Women	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
02/10	Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
26/09	Unia Lublin (W) Poland League Women	2-0	4-3	8	7	W
29/08	MKS Myszkow (W) Poland League Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/08	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Poland League Women	–	0-8	–	–	L
15/08	LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women	–	1-4	–	–	L
07/08	Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women	–	1-4	–	–	L
02/08	Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
04/06	Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) Poland League Women	0-1	1-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 67%, draw 17%, Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)?

The model expects 4.08 goals (Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 2.74 · Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) vs Sportowa Czworka Radom (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.