Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 03/09, 16:00

Prediction: 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Manisa BBSK

Team pages: 76 Igdir Belediyespor · Manisa BBSK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

76 Igdir Belediyespor1.33

Manisa BBSK1.06

1X2

42% 29% 29%

76 Igdir Belediyespor Draw Manisa BBSK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

76 Igdir Belediyespor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDWLLW

Manisa BBSK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWWDD

Head-to-head

76 Igdir Belediyespor 2–2–0 Manisa BBSK (4 last)

76 Igdir Belediyespor0-0Manisa BBSK
Manisa BBSK1-176 Igdir Belediyespor
Manisa BBSK0-176 Igdir Belediyespor
76 Igdir Belediyespor1-0Manisa BBSK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 1492 · Manisa BBSK 1549

	76 Igdir Belediyespor	Draw	Manisa BBSK
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manisa BBSK (rating 1492 vs 1549).
H2H favours 76 Igdir Belediyespor: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	76 Igdir Belediyespor	Manisa BBSK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:43 +1’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 2–2–0 Manisa BBSK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Türkiye 1 Lig	76 Igdir Belediyespor	0-0 HT 0-0	Manisa BBSK
30/08/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Manisa BBSK	1-1 HT 1-0	76 Igdir Belediyespor
04/03/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Manisa BBSK	0-1 HT 0-0	76 Igdir Belediyespor
20/10/24 Türkiye 1 Lig	76 Igdir Belediyespor	1-0 HT 1-0	Manisa BBSK

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Batman Petrolspor	4	3	1	0	8	4	10
2	Kayserispor	4	3	0	1	6	2	9
3	Bursaspor	4	3	0	1	6	3	9
4	Mardin 1969	4	2	2	0	6	1	8
5	Manisa BBSK	4	2	2	0	8	4	8
6	Sariyer	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
7	Fatih Karagumruk	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
8	Bandirmaspor	4	1	3	0	5	2	6
9	76 Igdir Belediyespor	4	2	0	2	3	2	6
10	Keciorengucu	4	1	2	1	10	8	5
11	Muglaspor	4	1	2	1	2	2	5
12	Pendikspor	4	1	2	1	7	9	5
13	Vanspor FK	4	1	1	2	5	9	4
14	Umraniyespor	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
15	Esenler Erokspor	4	0	3	1	2	3	3
16	Bodrum FK	4	0	3	1	2	4	3
17	Antalyaspor	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
18	Sivasspor	4	0	2	2	3	6	2
19	Istanbulspor	4	0	2	2	5	9	2
20	Boluspor	4	0	0	4	1	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	76 Igdir Belediyespor	Manisa BBSK
Sivasspor	1-2 L	2-2 D
Pendikspor	1-1 D	2-0 W
Adana Demirspor	6-1 W	1-2 L
Keciorengucu	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Manisa BBSK (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

76 Igdir Belediyespor

LLWDLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
22/08	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
09/08	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
02/05	Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-2	3-3	3	8	D
26/04	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
19/04	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
12/04	Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	6-1	5	2	W
08/04	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
04/04	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	2	2	L

Manisa BBSK

LWWWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
24/08	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-2	2	5	D
15/08	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	4-1	3	5	W
07/08	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	2-1	3	1	W
01/05	Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
26/04	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/04	Serikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
12/04	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
07/04	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
03/04	Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Manisa BBSK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 76 Igdir Belediyespor win (42%). Probabilities: 76 Igdir Belediyespor 42%, draw 29%, Manisa BBSK 29%.

How many goals are expected in 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Manisa BBSK?

The model expects 2.39 goals (76 Igdir Belediyespor 1.33 · Manisa BBSK 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in 76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Manisa BBSK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.