Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor

Team pages: Mardin 1969 · Batman Petrolspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Mardin 19691.73

Batman Petrolspor1.39

1X2

44% 26% 29%

Mardin 1969 Draw Batman Petrolspor

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Mardin 1969 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWWLWW

Batman Petrolspor 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWDWL

Head-to-head

Mardin 1969 1–1–0 Batman Petrolspor (2 last)

Mardin 19691-1Batman Petrolspor
Batman Petrolspor1-3Mardin 1969

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mardin 1969 1535 · Batman Petrolspor 1506

	Mardin 1969	Draw	Batman Petrolspor
Our model	45%	26%	30%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mardin 1969	Batman Petrolspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	2.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.77

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.60 ★
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:19 +2’	2.05	3.30	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +9’	2.08	3.55	3.22
13:16 +16’	2.10▲	3.60▲	3.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mardin 1969 1–1–0 Batman Petrolspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/23 Türkiye Cup	Mardin 1969	1-1 HT 1-0	Batman Petrolspor
11/09/19 Türkiye Cup	Batman Petrolspor	1-3 HT 1-1	Mardin 1969

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bursaspor	13	10	1	2	29	11	31
2	Kayserispor	13	9	3	1	32	9	30
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	13	8	3	2	18	10	27
4	Mardin 1969	13	7	3	3	18	12	24
5	Batman Petrolspor	13	7	2	4	26	23	23
6	Keciorengucu	13	5	5	3	25	18	20
7	Antalyaspor	13	6	1	6	19	20	19
8	Bodrum FK	13	4	6	3	16	12	18
9	Muglaspor	13	4	6	3	18	20	18
10	Fatih Karagumruk	13	4	4	5	16	16	16
11	Sariyer	13	4	4	5	14	18	16
12	Esenler Erokspor	13	3	6	4	15	18	15
13	Bandirmaspor	13	3	5	5	17	13	14
14	Umraniyespor	12	3	5	4	14	11	14
15	Pendikspor	13	3	5	5	15	23	14
16	Manisa BBSK	13	3	4	6	21	23	13
17	Sivasspor	13	2	7	4	16	20	13
18	Vanspor FK	13	4	3	6	14	22	13
19	Istanbulspor	13	1	2	10	10	33	5
20	Boluspor	12	1	1	10	5	26	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mardin 1969	Batman Petrolspor
Istanbulspor	2-1 W	4-2 W
Manisa BBSK	2-1 W	1-2 L
Esenler Erokspor	2-4 L	3-2 W
Fatih Karagumruk	1-0 W	4-3 W
Bursaspor	2-1 W	1-2 L
Kayserispor	0-1 L	2-2 D
76 Igdir Belediyespor	0-1 L	1-2 L
Bodrum FK	1-0 W	0-4 L
Sivasspor	2-2 D	2-1 W
Vanspor FK	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Batman Petrolspor (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mardin 1969

DDWLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	2-1	11	5	W
26/10	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
19/10	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
15/10	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
11/10	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	2	10	W
20/09	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
13/09	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
07/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
02/09	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
29/08	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	7	7	D

Batman Petrolspor

WWWLLLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	7	1	L
25/10	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	3-2	9	8	W
18/10	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
14/10	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	4-2	10	1	W
10/10	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	1-2	2	6	L
19/09	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	4-3	1	4	W
02/09	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
29/08	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-1	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mardin 1969 win (44%). Probabilities: Mardin 1969 44%, draw 26%, Batman Petrolspor 29%.

How many goals are expected in Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Mardin 1969 1.73 · Batman Petrolspor 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.