Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Fatih Karagumruk vs Pendikspor

Team pages: Fatih Karagumruk · Pendikspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Fatih Karagumruk1.78

Pendikspor1.06

1X2

53% 25% 21%

Fatih Karagumruk Draw Pendikspor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Fatih Karagumruk 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWDLLW

Pendikspor 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWDDLLLD

Head-to-head

Fatih Karagumruk 2–1–3 Pendikspor (6 last)

Pendikspor2-0Fatih Karagumruk
Fatih Karagumruk0-2Pendikspor
Fatih Karagumruk2-0Pendikspor
Pendikspor1-1Fatih Karagumruk
Pendikspor2-0Fatih Karagumruk
Fatih Karagumruk4-1Pendikspor

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fatih Karagumruk (rating 1507 vs 1454).
H2H favours Pendikspor: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fatih Karagumruk	Pendikspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.91

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.85
X	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62
2	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:46 +14’	1.85	3.62	3.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fatih Karagumruk 2–1–3 Pendikspor

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Pendikspor	2-0 HT 2-0	Fatih Karagumruk
04/01/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Fatih Karagumruk	0-2 HT 0-2	Pendikspor
10/02/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Fatih Karagumruk	2-0 HT 1-0	Pendikspor
23/09/23 Türkiye Super Lig	Pendikspor	1-1 HT 1-0	Fatih Karagumruk
24/03/19 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi	Pendikspor	2-0 HT 0-0	Fatih Karagumruk
04/11/18 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi	Fatih Karagumruk	4-1 HT 2-0	Pendikspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	11	8	2	1	24	7	26
2	76 Igdir Belediyespor	12	8	2	2	17	9	26
3	Bursaspor	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
4	Keciorengucu	11	5	5	1	21	11	20
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Muglaspor	12	4	6	2	18	14	18
7	Mardin 1969	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
8	Antalyaspor	11	6	0	5	17	17	18
9	Fatih Karagumruk	12	4	4	4	16	15	16
10	Sariyer	12	4	4	4	14	17	16
11	Bandirmaspor	12	3	5	4	17	10	14
12	Bodrum FK	11	3	5	3	13	10	14
13	Umraniyespor	11	3	4	4	13	10	13
14	Sivasspor	12	2	7	3	15	18	13
15	Esenler Erokspor	11	2	6	3	10	13	12
16	Manisa BBSK	11	2	4	5	18	20	10
17	Vanspor FK	12	3	3	6	13	22	10
18	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	12	21	10
19	Istanbulspor	12	1	2	9	9	31	5
20	Boluspor	11	0	1	10	3	25	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fatih Karagumruk	Pendikspor
Sariyer	2-0 W	0-2 L
Kayserispor	1-1 D	2-2 D
Bursaspor	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fatih Karagumruk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fatih Karagumruk

WDDLDWDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
19/10	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
15/10	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
11/10	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
19/09	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
13/09	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
06/09	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	3-4	8	4	L
02/09	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
21/08	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Pendikspor

WDLWDDLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
19/10	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
13/10	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
09/10	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-4	5	5	L
20/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
12/09	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
05/09	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
01/09	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
28/08	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
22/08	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fatih Karagumruk vs Pendikspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fatih Karagumruk win (53%). Probabilities: Fatih Karagumruk 53%, draw 25%, Pendikspor 21%.

How many goals are expected in Fatih Karagumruk vs Pendikspor?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Fatih Karagumruk 1.78 · Pendikspor 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fatih Karagumruk vs Pendikspor?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.