Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 30/10, 18:00

Prediction: Esenler Erokspor vs Keciorengucu

Team pages: Esenler Erokspor · Keciorengucu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Esenler Erokspor1.11

Keciorengucu1.38

1X2

29% 29% 42%

Esenler Erokspor Draw Keciorengucu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Esenler Erokspor 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDLDLWDW

Keciorengucu 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDDWDW

Head-to-head

Esenler Erokspor 1–3–0 Keciorengucu (4 last)

Esenler Erokspor1-0Keciorengucu
Keciorengucu1-1Esenler Erokspor
Keciorengucu2-2Esenler Erokspor
Esenler Erokspor2-2Keciorengucu

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keciorengucu (rating 1475 vs 1571).
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Esenler Erokspor	Keciorengucu
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.01 → 2.01	Pinn 2.01
X	3.56 → 3.56	Pinn 3.56
2	3.47 → 3.47	Pinn 3.47

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:16 +9’	2.01	3.56	3.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Esenler Erokspor 1–3–0 Keciorengucu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Türkiye 1 Lig	Esenler Erokspor	1-0 HT 0-0	Keciorengucu
14/12/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Keciorengucu	1-1 HT 0-0	Esenler Erokspor
05/03/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Keciorengucu	2-2 HT 1-0	Esenler Erokspor
21/10/24 Türkiye 1 Lig	Esenler Erokspor	2-2 HT 2-1	Keciorengucu

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	11	8	2	1	24	7	26
2	76 Igdir Belediyespor	12	8	2	2	17	9	26
3	Bursaspor	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
4	Keciorengucu	11	5	5	1	21	11	20
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Muglaspor	12	4	6	2	18	14	18
7	Mardin 1969	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
8	Antalyaspor	11	6	0	5	17	17	18
9	Fatih Karagumruk	12	4	4	4	16	15	16
10	Sariyer	12	4	4	4	14	17	16
11	Bandirmaspor	12	3	5	4	17	10	14
12	Bodrum FK	11	3	5	3	13	10	14
13	Umraniyespor	11	3	4	4	13	10	13
14	Sivasspor	12	2	7	3	15	18	13
15	Esenler Erokspor	11	2	6	3	10	13	12
16	Manisa BBSK	11	2	4	5	18	20	10
17	Vanspor FK	12	3	3	6	13	22	10
18	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	12	21	10
19	Istanbulspor	12	1	2	9	9	31	5
20	Boluspor	11	0	1	10	3	25	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Esenler Erokspor	Keciorengucu
Fatih Karagumruk	0-2 L	2-1 W
Bodrum FK	0-0 D	2-0 W
76 Igdir Belediyespor	0-1 L	0-0 D
Umraniyespor	1-1 D	2-2 D
Sariyer	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Keciorengucu (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esenler Erokspor

DDLDLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	4-2	6	5	W
15/10	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
10/10	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
19/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
13/09	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-2	2	4	D
07/09	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-3	6	8	L
03/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
30/08	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
22/08	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Keciorengucu

WDDWWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
14/10	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
09/10	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
19/09	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
05/09	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/09	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
28/08	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-2	3	6	D
23/08	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esenler Erokspor vs Keciorengucu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Keciorengucu win (42%). Probabilities: Esenler Erokspor 29%, draw 29%, Keciorengucu 42%.

How many goals are expected in Esenler Erokspor vs Keciorengucu?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Esenler Erokspor 1.11 · Keciorengucu 1.38), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Esenler Erokspor vs Keciorengucu?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.