Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 21/08, 20:30
Prediction: Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
Team pages: Erzurumspor FK · Galatasaray
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Erzurumspor FK1.93
Galatasaray1.09
1X2
Erzurumspor FK
Draw
Galatasaray
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Erzurumspor FK
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Galatasaray
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Erzurumspor FK
0–1–3
Galatasaray
(4 last)
- Galatasaray2-0Erzurumspor FK
- Erzurumspor FK1-2Galatasaray
- Erzurumspor FK1-1Galatasaray
- Galatasaray1-0Erzurumspor FK
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erzurumspor FK (rating 1537 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Galatasaray: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Erzurumspor FK | Galatasaray | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.7 | 3.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Erzurumspor FK 0–1–3 Galatasaray
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/21 Türkiye Super Lig | Galatasaray | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Erzurumspor FK |
| 24/10/20 Türkiye Super Lig | Erzurumspor FK | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Galatasaray |
| 03/03/19 Türkiye Super Lig | Erzurumspor FK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Galatasaray |
| 28/09/18 Türkiye Super Lig | Galatasaray | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Erzurumspor FK |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Caykur Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Corum Belediyespor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Goztepe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Erzurumspor FK | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Corum Belediyespor | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Umraniyespor | 1-3 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Galatasaray (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erzurumspor FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/04 | Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Hatayspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 11/03 | Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
Galatasaray
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Villarreal Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Rennes Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 27/07 | Venezia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | Monza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Umraniyespor Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Erzurumspor FK win (56%). Probabilities: Erzurumspor FK 56%, draw 24%, Galatasaray 20%.
How many goals are expected in Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Erzurumspor FK 1.93 · Galatasaray 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.