Football · Germany Regionalliga Bayern · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: SpVgg Bayreuth vs Unterhaching

Team pages: SpVgg Bayreuth · Unterhaching

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

SpVgg Bayreuth1.42

Unterhaching1.58

1X2

33% 26% 40%

SpVgg Bayreuth Draw Unterhaching

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SpVgg Bayreuth 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLDLLLW

Unterhaching 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDLDWW

Head-to-head

SpVgg Bayreuth 1–2–3 Unterhaching (6 last)

SpVgg Bayreuth2-3Unterhaching
Unterhaching1-1SpVgg Bayreuth
Unterhaching2-2SpVgg Bayreuth
SpVgg Bayreuth2-1Unterhaching
Unterhaching5-1SpVgg Bayreuth
SpVgg Bayreuth0-4Unterhaching

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unterhaching (rating 1453 vs 1532).
H2H favours Unterhaching: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SpVgg Bayreuth	Unterhaching
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.79

Under 2.752.01

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.45 → 3.45	Pinn 3.45
X	4.26 → 4.26	Pinn 4.26
2	1.76 → 1.76	Pinn 1.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +74’	3.45	4.26	1.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SpVgg Bayreuth 1–2–3 Unterhaching

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	SpVgg Bayreuth	2-3 HT 1-2	Unterhaching
17/10/25 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	Unterhaching	1-1 HT 0-1	SpVgg Bayreuth
14/04/22 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	Unterhaching	2-2 HT 1-0	SpVgg Bayreuth
19/02/22 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	SpVgg Bayreuth	2-1 HT 2-0	Unterhaching
13/05/17 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	Unterhaching	5-1 HT 1-0	SpVgg Bayreuth
21/10/16 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	SpVgg Bayreuth	0-4 HT 0-2	Unterhaching

Standings · Germany Regionalliga Bayern

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buchbach	8	6	2	0	19	6	20
2	Memmingen	7	5	1	1	11	6	16
3	FV Illertissen	8	4	2	2	14	10	14
4	Unterhaching	7	4	2	1	9	6	14
5	1860 Munich	7	3	4	0	16	9	13
6	DJK Vilzing	7	4	1	2	13	11	13
7	SC Eltersdorf	7	3	3	1	11	7	12
8	Schweinfurt 05	7	3	2	2	14	16	11
9	Augsburg II	7	3	2	2	13	15	11
10	Wacker Burghausen	8	3	1	4	19	16	10
11	TSV Aubstadt	7	2	2	3	14	13	8
12	TSV Schwaben Augsburg	8	2	2	4	7	12	8
12	VfB Eichstätt	7	2	2	3	7	12	8
14	Nurnberg II	7	2	1	4	12	13	7
14	SpVgg Bayreuth	7	2	1	4	12	13	7
16	Bayern Munich II	7	2	1	4	7	8	7
17	TSV Landsberg	8	1	3	4	8	13	6
18	Greuther Furth II	6	1	0	5	6	12	3
19	Ansbach	6	0	0	6	3	17	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SpVgg Bayreuth	Unterhaching
TSV Aubstadt	1-0 W	3-2 W
Wacker Burghausen	2-4 L	4-0 W
FV Illertissen	2-2 D	0-3 L
Memmingen	1-3 L	0-0 D
Greuther Furth II	2-0 W	1-0 W
Augsburg II	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SpVgg Bayreuth

LWWLLDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	TSV Aubstadt Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Ansbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
04/09	Wacker Burghausen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
29/08	Buchbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	FV Illertissen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
14/08	Schweinfurt 05 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
07/08	Memmingen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
01/08	Greuther Furth II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/07	Augsburg II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	TSV Aubstadt Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-3	0-4	–	–	L

Unterhaching

LLWWWDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	TSV Aubstadt Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	Augsburg II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
29/08	Memmingen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
14/08	FV Illertissen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	SC Eltersdorf Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/07	Nurnberg II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Greuther Furth II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	Wacker Burghausen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
09/05	Wurzburger Kickers Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-4	–	–	L
02/05	Memmingen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SpVgg Bayreuth vs Unterhaching?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Unterhaching win (40%). Probabilities: SpVgg Bayreuth 33%, draw 26%, Unterhaching 40%.

How many goals are expected in SpVgg Bayreuth vs Unterhaching?

The model expects 3 goals (SpVgg Bayreuth 1.42 · Unterhaching 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SpVgg Bayreuth vs Unterhaching?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.