Football · Germany Regionalliga Bayern · 11/09, 19:00

Prediction: FV Illertissen vs Nurnberg II

Team pages: FV Illertissen · Nurnberg II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

FV Illertissen2.16

Nurnberg II1.51

1X2

52% 22% 26%

FV Illertissen Draw Nurnberg II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FV Illertissen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Nurnberg II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FV Illertissen 3–1–2 Nurnberg II (6 last)

FV Illertissen1-1Nurnberg II
Nurnberg II2-5FV Illertissen
Nurnberg II2-0FV Illertissen
FV Illertissen0-2Nurnberg II
FV Illertissen3-1Nurnberg II
Nurnberg II0-2FV Illertissen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FV Illertissen (rating 1550 vs 1508).
H2H favours FV Illertissen: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FV Illertissen	Nurnberg II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.89

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.65▼	Pinn 2.65
X	3.46 → 3.53▲	Pinn 3.53
2	2.31 → 2.32▲	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:41 +15’	2.70	3.46	2.31
08:06 +10’	2.49▼	3.52▲	2.47▲
10:12 +6’	2.56▲	3.53▲	2.39▼
16:08 +51’	2.65▲	3.53	2.32▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FV Illertissen 3–1–2 Nurnberg II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	FV Illertissen	1-1 HT 0-0	Nurnberg II
27/09/25 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	Nurnberg II	2-5 HT 0-2	FV Illertissen
26/04/25 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	Nurnberg II	2-0 HT 0-0	FV Illertissen
12/10/24 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	FV Illertissen	0-2 HT 0-1	Nurnberg II
25/11/23 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	FV Illertissen	3-1 HT 2-1	Nurnberg II
19/08/23 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	Nurnberg II	0-2 HT 0-1	FV Illertissen

Standings · Germany Regionalliga Bayern

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buchbach	8	6	2	0	19	6	20
2	Memmingen	7	5	1	1	11	6	16
3	FV Illertissen	8	4	2	2	14	10	14
4	Unterhaching	7	4	2	1	9	6	14
5	1860 Munich	7	3	4	0	16	9	13
6	DJK Vilzing	7	4	1	2	13	11	13
7	SC Eltersdorf	7	3	3	1	11	7	12
8	Schweinfurt 05	7	3	2	2	14	16	11
9	Augsburg II	7	3	2	2	13	15	11
10	Wacker Burghausen	8	3	1	4	19	16	10
11	TSV Aubstadt	7	2	2	3	14	13	8
12	TSV Schwaben Augsburg	8	2	2	4	7	12	8
12	VfB Eichstätt	7	2	2	3	7	12	8
14	Nurnberg II	7	2	1	4	12	13	7
14	SpVgg Bayreuth	7	2	1	4	12	13	7
16	Bayern Munich II	7	2	1	4	7	8	7
17	TSV Landsberg	8	1	3	4	8	13	6
18	Greuther Furth II	6	1	0	5	6	12	3
19	Ansbach	6	0	0	6	3	17	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FV Illertissen	Nurnberg II
SC Eltersdorf	0-3 L	1-1 D
SpVgg Bayreuth	2-2 D	0-0 D
Unterhaching	3-0 W	1-2 L
SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing	5-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FV Illertissen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FV Illertissen

WWWWWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	SC Eltersdorf Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
29/08	Bayern Munich II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/08	SpVgg Bayreuth Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/08	Unterhaching Germany Regionalliga Bayern	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
07/08	TSV Landsberg Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
31/07	TSV Schwaben Augsburg Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/07	VfB Eichstätt Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	TSV Schwaben Augsburg Germany Regionalliga Bayern	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/05	SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing Germany Regionalliga Bayern	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
30/04	Bayern Munich II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	4-0	–	–	W

Nurnberg II

WWDDLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Schweinfurt 05 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	3-2	5-2	–	–	W
21/08	Wacker Burghausen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	SC Eltersdorf Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Buchbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
31/07	Unterhaching Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
24/07	DJK Vilzing Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
16/05	SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing Germany Regionalliga Bayern	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
09/05	SpVgg Bayreuth Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	Buchbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern	3-1	8-1	–	–	W
28/04	Wacker Burghausen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	3-2	4-3	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FV Illertissen vs Nurnberg II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FV Illertissen win (52%). Probabilities: FV Illertissen 52%, draw 22%, Nurnberg II 26%.

How many goals are expected in FV Illertissen vs Nurnberg II?

The model expects 3.68 goals (FV Illertissen 2.16 · Nurnberg II 1.51), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FV Illertissen vs Nurnberg II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.