Prediction: CD Maxaquene vs Vilankulo FC
| CD Maxaquene | Draw | Vilankulo FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 34% | 30% |
| Market | 38% | 31% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vilankulo FC (rating 1457 vs 1525).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Maxaquene | Vilankulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.3 | 3.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Standings · Mozambique Mocambola
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Songo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Black Bulls | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Ferroviario de Nampula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | Costa Do Sol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | LD Sofala | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Vilankulo FC | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Ferroviario Maputo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Chingale de Tete | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Baía de Pemba F.C | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | CD Maxaquene | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Maxaquene | Vilankulo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario Lichinga | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ferroviario Maputo | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Black Bulls | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Costa Do Sol | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vilankulo FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Maxaquene
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/05 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/11 | Estrela Vermelha Other Match |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/11 | Estrela Vermelha Other Match |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Vilankulo FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Vulcano Mozambique Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/06 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/05 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/12 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/11 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Maxaquene vs Vilankulo FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Maxaquene win (37%). Probabilities: CD Maxaquene 37%, draw 32%, Vilankulo FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in CD Maxaquene vs Vilankulo FC?
The model expects 1.98 goals (CD Maxaquene 1.06 · Vilankulo FC 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Maxaquene vs Vilankulo FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.