Football · Germany Regionalliga North East · 11/09, 19:00
Prediction: VSG Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer
Team pages: VSG Altglienicke · Chemnitzer
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
VSG Altglienicke1.46
Chemnitzer1.7
1X2
VSG Altglienicke
Draw
Chemnitzer
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
VSG Altglienicke
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Chemnitzer
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
VSG Altglienicke
2–1–3
Chemnitzer
(6 last)
- VSG Altglienicke1-2Chemnitzer
- Chemnitzer2-2VSG Altglienicke
- VSG Altglienicke0-2Chemnitzer
- Chemnitzer1-0VSG Altglienicke
- Chemnitzer1-3VSG Altglienicke
- VSG Altglienicke2-1Chemnitzer
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chemnitzer (rating 1521 vs 1611).
- H2H favours Chemnitzer: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VSG Altglienicke | Chemnitzer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | 2.5 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VSG Altglienicke 2–1–3 Chemnitzer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Germany Regionalliga North East | VSG Altglienicke | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Chemnitzer |
| 07/11/25 Germany Regionalliga North East | Chemnitzer | 2-2 HT 0-1 | VSG Altglienicke |
| 27/04/25 Germany Regionalliga North East | VSG Altglienicke | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Chemnitzer |
| 01/11/24 Germany Regionalliga North East | Chemnitzer | 1-0 HT 1-0 | VSG Altglienicke |
| 13/04/24 Germany Regionalliga North East | Chemnitzer | 1-3 HT 1-3 | VSG Altglienicke |
| 21/11/23 Germany Regionalliga North East | VSG Altglienicke | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Chemnitzer |
Standings · Germany Regionalliga North East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Erzgebirge Aue | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Magdeburg II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | Carl Zeiss Jena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Zwickau | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Greifswalder SV 04 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | VSG Altglienicke | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Hallescher FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Lok Leipzig | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | RSV Eintracht | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
| 13 | Babelsberg 03 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 5 |
| 15 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 4 |
| 16 | BFC Preussen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | FSV 63 Luckenwalde | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 3 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | VSG Altglienicke | Chemnitzer |
|---|---|---|
| Carl Zeiss Jena | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Hallescher FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Hertha Berlin II | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| BFC Preussen | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chemnitzer (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VSG Altglienicke
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Carl Zeiss Jena Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | BSG Chemie Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Hallescher FC Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Hertha Berlin II Germany Regionalliga North East |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | Greifswalder SV 04 Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/08 | Babelsberg 03 Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | BFC Preussen Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Hertha Berlin II Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Chemnitzer Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Chemnitzer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Carl Zeiss Jena Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/08 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Hallescher FC Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/08 | Zwickau Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | BFC Preussen Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Hertha Berlin II Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | BFC Dynamo Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Zwickau Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | VSG Altglienicke Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VSG Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chemnitzer win (42%). Probabilities: VSG Altglienicke 32%, draw 26%, Chemnitzer 42%.
How many goals are expected in VSG Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer?
The model expects 3.16 goals (VSG Altglienicke 1.46 · Chemnitzer 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in VSG Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.