Football · Germany Regionalliga North East · 16/09, 19:00
Prediction: Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg 03
Team pages: Chemnitzer · Babelsberg 03
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Chemnitzer2.57
Babelsberg 031.1
1X2
Chemnitzer
Draw
Babelsberg 03
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Chemnitzer
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Babelsberg 03
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chemnitzer
2–2–2
Babelsberg 03
(6 last)
- Chemnitzer5-1Babelsberg 03
- Babelsberg 030-1Chemnitzer
- Babelsberg 030-0Chemnitzer
- Chemnitzer2-3Babelsberg 03
- Babelsberg 031-0Chemnitzer
- Chemnitzer0-0Babelsberg 03
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chemnitzer (rating 1610 vs 1444).
- High corners: 17.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chemnitzer | Babelsberg 03 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.5 | – / 11 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chemnitzer 2–2–2 Babelsberg 03
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Germany Regionalliga North East | Chemnitzer | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Babelsberg 03 |
| 13/09/25 Germany Regionalliga North East | Babelsberg 03 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chemnitzer |
| 11/03/25 Germany Regionalliga North East | Babelsberg 03 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chemnitzer |
| 25/08/24 Germany Regionalliga North East | Chemnitzer | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Babelsberg 03 |
| 19/03/24 Germany Regionalliga North East | Babelsberg 03 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chemnitzer |
| 29/08/23 Germany Regionalliga North East | Chemnitzer | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Babelsberg 03 |
Standings · Germany Regionalliga North East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Erzgebirge Aue | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Carl Zeiss Jena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | BFC Dynamo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zwickau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Greifswalder SV 04 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | Hallescher FC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | VSG Altglienicke | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Lok Leipzig | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 12 | Babelsberg 03 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 14 | RSV Eintracht | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 4 |
| 17 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | FSV 63 Luckenwalde | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chemnitzer | Babelsberg 03 |
|---|---|---|
| VSG Altglienicke | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Carl Zeiss Jena | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Hallescher FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Zwickau | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Hertha Berlin II | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chemnitzer (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chemnitzer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | VSG Altglienicke Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Carl Zeiss Jena Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/08 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Erzgebirge Aue Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Hallescher FC Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/08 | Zwickau Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | BFC Preussen Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Hertha Berlin II Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | BFC Dynamo Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Zwickau Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Babelsberg 03
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Hallescher FC Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Zwickau Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Greifswalder SV 04 Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | RSV Eintracht Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Magdeburg II Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/08 | VSG Altglienicke Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | Carl Zeiss Jena Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | BSG Chemie Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Hertha Berlin II Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Magdeburg II Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-5 | 4-6 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg 03?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chemnitzer win (68%). Probabilities: Chemnitzer 68%, draw 18%, Babelsberg 03 13%.
How many goals are expected in Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg 03?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Chemnitzer 2.57 · Babelsberg 03 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg 03?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.