Football · Germany Regionalliga North East · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Chemnitzer vs Magdeburg II

Team pages: Chemnitzer · Magdeburg II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Chemnitzer2.18

Magdeburg II0.99

1X2

63% 21% 15%

Chemnitzer Draw Magdeburg II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Chemnitzer 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLWWWD

Magdeburg II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Chemnitzer 1–1 Magdeburg II (2 last)

Magdeburg II0-1Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer2-4Magdeburg II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chemnitzer (rating 1583 vs 1460).
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chemnitzer	Magdeburg II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.6	1.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.5	1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.87

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.50
X	4.56 → 4.55▼	Pinn 4.55
2	5.46 → 5.20▼	Pinn 5.20

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +16’	1.45	4.56	5.46
16:44 +51’	1.44▼	4.63▲	5.52▲
09:09	1.43▼	4.66▲	5.53▲
15:06	1.50▲	4.55▼	5.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chemnitzer 1–0–1 Magdeburg II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Germany Regionalliga North East	Magdeburg II	0-1 HT 0-1	Chemnitzer
23/08/25 Germany Regionalliga North East	Chemnitzer	2-4 HT 1-2	Magdeburg II

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	14	9	4	1	42	18	31
2	Chemnitzer	14	9	3	2	30	9	30
3	Hallescher FC	13	8	4	1	20	9	28
4	VSG Altglienicke	14	8	3	3	26	17	27
5	Carl Zeiss Jena	14	8	2	4	23	12	26
6	BFC Dynamo	14	7	5	2	22	13	26
7	Erzgebirge Aue	14	7	3	4	23	18	24
8	Greifswalder SV 04	14	6	4	4	28	23	22
9	Magdeburg II	14	6	1	7	27	28	19
10	Zwickau	14	5	4	5	17	22	19
11	FC Lok Leipzig	13	4	5	4	25	25	17
12	Babelsberg 03	14	4	4	6	15	23	16
13	BFC Preussen	14	2	5	7	16	22	11
14	SV Tasmania Berlin	14	3	2	9	21	39	11
15	BSG Chemie Leipzig	13	2	4	7	15	22	10
16	Hertha Berlin II	13	2	4	7	10	23	10
17	RSV Eintracht	14	2	3	9	15	32	9
18	FSV 63 Luckenwalde	14	2	0	12	14	34	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chemnitzer	Magdeburg II
BFC Dynamo	1-1 D	1-4 L
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	3-1 W	1-4 L
RSV Eintracht	4-0 W	4-2 W
BSG Chemie Leipzig	3-1 W	1-0 W
Babelsberg 03	0-1 L	3-1 W
VSG Altglienicke	2-0 W	0-1 L
Carl Zeiss Jena	1-1 D	1-2 L
Erzgebirge Aue	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Chemnitzer (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chemnitzer

DWWDWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	BFC Dynamo Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	Rot-Weiss Erfurt Germany Regionalliga North East	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
26/09	RSV Eintracht Germany Regionalliga North East	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
20/09	BSG Chemie Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/09	Babelsberg 03 Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/09	VSG Altglienicke Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	Carl Zeiss Jena Germany Regionalliga North East	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/08	FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Erzgebirge Aue Germany Regionalliga North East	2-0	3-1	10	3	W
09/08	Hallescher FC Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Magdeburg II

WLWWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Greifswalder SV 04 Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	Carl Zeiss Jena Germany Regionalliga North East	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
25/09	VSG Altglienicke Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	BFC Dynamo Germany Regionalliga North East	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
16/09	Erzgebirge Aue Germany Regionalliga North East	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	BFC Preussen Germany Regionalliga North East	1-0	1-4	–	–	L
30/08	RSV Eintracht Germany Regionalliga North East	1-2	4-2	–	–	W
25/08	BSG Chemie Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Rot-Weiss Erfurt Germany Regionalliga North East	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
11/08	Babelsberg 03 Germany Regionalliga North East	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chemnitzer vs Magdeburg II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chemnitzer win (63%). Probabilities: Chemnitzer 63%, draw 21%, Magdeburg II 15%.

How many goals are expected in Chemnitzer vs Magdeburg II?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Chemnitzer 2.18 · Magdeburg II 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chemnitzer vs Magdeburg II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.