Football · Austria Landesliga · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Hellas Kagran vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Team pages: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Hellas Kagran1.6

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1.6

1X2

38% 24% 38%

Hellas Kagran Draw SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hellas Kagran 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLDLL

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Hellas Kagran 3–1–2 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf (6 last)

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-2Hellas Kagran
Hellas Kagran0-3SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-0Hellas Kagran
Hellas Kagran5-0SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Hellas Kagran4-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Hellas Kagran1-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hellas Kagran 1465 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1428

	Hellas Kagran	Draw	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Our model	37%	25%	37%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hellas Kagran: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hellas Kagran	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.4	0.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	1.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
00:40 +14’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hellas Kagran 3–1–2 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-2 HT 1-1	Hellas Kagran
13/09/25 Austria Landesliga	Hellas Kagran	0-3 HT 0-3	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
06/06/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-0 HT 0-0	Hellas Kagran
23/11/24 Austria Landesliga	Hellas Kagran	5-0 HT 3-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
27/11/19 Austria Amateur Cup	Hellas Kagran	4-1 HT 0-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
13/07/19 Europe Friendlies	Hellas Kagran	1-1 HT 1-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TWL Elektra	4	4	0	0	10	3	12
2	Red Star Penzing	4	4	0	0	8	2	12
3	SV Schwechat	4	3	0	1	9	3	9
4	LAC Inter	4	3	0	1	9	7	9
5	Sportunion Mauer	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	FV Austria XIII	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
8	Post SV	4	1	1	2	12	7	4
9	Helfort 15	4	1	1	2	10	6	4
10	Slovan HAC	4	1	1	2	6	5	4
11	First Vienna II	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
12	WAF Brigittenau	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
13	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
14	FC 1980 Wien	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
15	Hellas Kagran	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
16	Simmeringer SC	4	0	0	4	2	16	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hellas Kagran	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Post SV	2-2 D	2-1 W
SV Schwechat	0-2 L	1-5 L
Floridsdorfer AC II	2-1 W	0-4 L
SV Wienerberg	0-5 L	1-4 L
Helfort 15	1-1 D	1-2 L
LAC Inter	1-5 L	0-3 L
Simmeringer SC	4-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Hellas Kagran (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hellas Kagran

WLDLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
05/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
01/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
12/06	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
06/06	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-5	4	0	L
24/05	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
16/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-3	1-5	8	3	L
02/05	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-1	3	7	W

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

LDLWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	1	1	L
28/08	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	5	2	L
29/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/05	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	4	0	L
16/05	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-3	6	1	L
08/05	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
30/04	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
24/04	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
21/04	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hellas Kagran vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hellas Kagran win (38%). Probabilities: Hellas Kagran 38%, draw 24%, SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 38%.

How many goals are expected in Hellas Kagran vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Hellas Kagran 1.6 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hellas Kagran vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.