Football · Austria Landesliga · 26/09, 16:30

Prediction: SV Burmoos vs SV Schwarzach

Team pages: SV Burmoos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

SV Burmoos2.8

SV Schwarzach0.9

1X2

76% 15% 9%

SV Burmoos Draw SV Schwarzach

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Burmoos 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWWD

SV Schwarzach 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

SV Burmoos 1–1 SV Schwarzach (2 last)

SV Schwarzach1-2SV Burmoos
SV Burmoos0-1SV Schwarzach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Burmoos 1604 · SV Schwarzach 1392

	SV Burmoos	Draw	SV Schwarzach
Our model	76%	15%	9%
Market	77%	14%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Burmoos (rating 1604 vs 1392).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Burmoos	SV Schwarzach
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.7	0.7 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	– / –

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.25

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.95

2 (+2.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:20 +4’	1.18	6.25	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Burmoos 1–0–1 SV Schwarzach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwarzach	1-2 HT 0-0	SV Burmoos
27/09/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Burmoos	0-1 HT 0-0	SV Schwarzach

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Red Star Penzing	5	5	0	0	13	4	15
2	TWL Elektra	5	5	0	0	12	4	15
3	Sportunion Mauer	5	4	1	0	10	1	13
4	SV Schwechat	5	3	0	2	11	8	9
5	LAC Inter	5	3	0	2	11	12	9
6	Helfort 15	5	2	1	2	11	6	7
7	Floridsdorfer AC II	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
8	First Vienna II	5	2	0	3	11	11	6
9	WAF Brigittenau	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
10	Post SV	5	1	2	2	13	8	5
11	Slovan HAC	5	1	2	2	7	6	5
12	FV Austria XIII	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	Hellas Kagran	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
15	FC 1980 Wien	5	1	0	4	3	14	3
16	Simmeringer SC	5	0	0	5	2	18	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Burmoos	SV Schwarzach
TSU Bramberg	3-3 D	0-3 L
Union Henndorf	3-1 W	1-2 L
Salzburger AK	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Burmoos (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Burmoos

WDWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
13/09	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	3-1	3-1	2	3	W
04/09	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
21/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
08/08	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/06	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	7	2	W

SV Schwarzach

LLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
13/09	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/09	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
21/08	Puch Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/06	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	SV Grodig Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Burmoos vs SV Schwarzach?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Burmoos win (76%). Probabilities: SV Burmoos 76%, draw 15%, SV Schwarzach 9%.

How many goals are expected in SV Burmoos vs SV Schwarzach?

The model expects 3.69 goals (SV Burmoos 2.8 · SV Schwarzach 0.9), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Burmoos vs SV Schwarzach?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.