Football · Austria Landesliga · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Hellas Kagran vs First Vienna II

Team pages: Hellas Kagran · First Vienna II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Hellas Kagran1.96

First Vienna II1.72

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Hellas Kagran Draw First Vienna II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hellas Kagran 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDLLWL

First Vienna II 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hellas Kagran 1–3 First Vienna II (4 last)

First Vienna II2-3Hellas Kagran
Hellas Kagran0-2First Vienna II
Hellas Kagran2-3First Vienna II
First Vienna II3-0Hellas Kagran

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hellas Kagran 1466 · First Vienna II 1453

	Hellas Kagran	Draw	First Vienna II
Our model	43%	23%	34%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours First Vienna II: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hellas Kagran	First Vienna II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.8	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.80

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +4’	2.10	3.80	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hellas Kagran 1–0–3 First Vienna II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Austria Landesliga	First Vienna II	2-3 HT 1-2	Hellas Kagran
23/08/25 Austria Landesliga	Hellas Kagran	0-2 HT 0-1	First Vienna II
06/04/25 Austria Landesliga	Hellas Kagran	2-3 HT 1-0	First Vienna II
21/09/24 Austria Landesliga	First Vienna II	3-0 HT 1-0	Hellas Kagran

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	6	5	1	0	14	1	16
2	Red Star Penzing	6	5	1	0	14	5	16
3	TWL Elektra	6	5	0	1	13	6	15
4	LAC Inter	6	4	0	2	15	12	12
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
6	SV Schwechat	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
7	Helfort 15	6	2	2	2	12	7	8
8	Slovan HAC	6	2	2	2	9	7	8
9	FV Austria XIII	6	1	3	2	7	8	6
10	First Vienna II	6	2	0	4	11	15	6
11	WAF Brigittenau	5	2	0	3	7	12	6
12	FC 1980 Wien	6	2	0	4	5	15	6
13	Post SV	6	1	2	3	13	9	5
14	Hellas Kagran	6	1	1	4	7	13	4
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	5	1	1	3	6	13	4
16	Simmeringer SC	6	1	0	5	3	18	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hellas Kagran	First Vienna II
FV Austria XIII	0-2 L	2-4 L
Sportunion Mauer	0-3 L	0-4 L
Post SV	2-2 D	3-2 W
SV Schwechat	0-2 L	5-2 W
Floridsdorfer AC II	2-1 W	1-2 L
WAF Brigittenau	0-2 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hellas Kagran

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
11/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
05/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
01/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
12/06	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
06/06	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-5	4	0	L
24/05	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
16/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

First Vienna II

LLLWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
18/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-1	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
06/09	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-4	5	2	L
28/08	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
12/06	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
06/06	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/05	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-4	–	–	L
20/05	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hellas Kagran vs First Vienna II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hellas Kagran win (43%). Probabilities: Hellas Kagran 43%, draw 24%, First Vienna II 33%.

How many goals are expected in Hellas Kagran vs First Vienna II?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Hellas Kagran 1.96 · First Vienna II 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hellas Kagran vs First Vienna II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.