Football · Austria Landesliga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Hellas Kagran vs Helfort 15

Team pages: Hellas Kagran · Helfort 15

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Hellas Kagran1.18

Helfort 151.77

1X2

26% 23% 51%

Hellas Kagran Draw Helfort 15

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hellas Kagran 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLDWLL

Helfort 15 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDWWWD

Head-to-head

Hellas Kagran 1–2–1 Helfort 15 (4 last)

Helfort 151-1Hellas Kagran
Hellas Kagran0-0Helfort 15
Hellas Kagran2-1Helfort 15
Hellas Kagran0-4Helfort 15

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hellas Kagran 1456 · Helfort 15 1544

	Hellas Kagran	Draw	Helfort 15
Our model	24%	26%	50%
Market	26%	21%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Helfort 15 (rating 1456 vs 1544).
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hellas Kagran	Helfort 15
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.20

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:15 +4’	3.40	4.20	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hellas Kagran 1–2–1 Helfort 15

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Austria Landesliga	Helfort 15	1-1 HT 0-1	Hellas Kagran
25/10/25 Austria Landesliga	Hellas Kagran	0-0 HT 0-0	Helfort 15
26/10/24 Austria Landesliga	Hellas Kagran	2-1 HT 1-0	Helfort 15
28/10/23 Austria Landesliga	Hellas Kagran	0-4 HT 0-2	Helfort 15

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	10	7	3	0	26	5	24
2	LAC Inter	10	7	1	2	22	15	22
3	Red Star Penzing	10	7	1	2	20	13	22
4	TWL Elektra	10	7	1	2	22	16	22
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	10	6	1	3	21	13	19
6	Helfort 15	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
7	FV Austria XIII	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
8	First Vienna II	10	4	1	5	21	21	13
9	SV Schwechat	10	4	0	6	16	17	12
10	WAF Brigittenau	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
11	Slovan HAC	10	2	4	4	13	18	10
12	FC 1980 Wien	10	2	3	5	12	25	9
13	Simmeringer SC	10	3	0	7	7	26	9
14	Hellas Kagran	10	2	2	6	15	20	8
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	10	1	4	5	11	22	7
16	Post SV	10	1	2	7	17	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hellas Kagran	Helfort 15
LAC Inter	0-1 L	1-2 L
Simmeringer SC	1-2 L	7-0 W
FV Austria XIII	0-2 L	2-2 D
Sportunion Mauer	0-3 L	0-0 D
Post SV	2-2 D	1-0 W
SV Schwechat	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Helfort 15 (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hellas Kagran

LDLLWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/10	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
11/10	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-1	4-1	2	7	W
03/10	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-3	6	4	D
26/09	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
11/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
05/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
01/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Helfort 15

WLDLWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
16/10	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
10/10	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	11	4	W
04/10	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/09	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/09	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
12/09	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
05/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-2	2	6	L
22/08	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	5-0	7-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hellas Kagran vs Helfort 15?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Helfort 15 win (51%). Probabilities: Hellas Kagran 26%, draw 23%, Helfort 15 51%.

How many goals are expected in Hellas Kagran vs Helfort 15?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Hellas Kagran 1.18 · Helfort 15 1.77), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hellas Kagran vs Helfort 15?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.